 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $830 | 52¢ | 46¢ | -$103 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | No | $300 | 81¢ | 78¢ | -$13 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Tech | No | $100 | 7.8¢ | 20¢ | +$161 |
 Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $200 | 49¢ | 61¢ | +$49 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | No | $200 | 59¢ | 66¢ | +$24 |
 Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?Politics | Yes | $50 | 16¢ | 7.0¢ | -$27 |
 Will Yegor Kovalchuk win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?Politics | No | $30 | 6.5¢ | 4.3¢ | -$10 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?Politics | Yes | $50 | 21¢ | 6.6¢ | -$35 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Tech | No | $39 | 53¢ | 19¢ | -$25 |
 Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 2.3¢ | 0.7¢ | -$7 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy | NoResolved | $5 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 WinnereSports | FURIA EsportsResolved | $5 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Spread: England (-1.5)World Cup | EnglandResolved | $3 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 4 WinnereSports | Fluxo W7MResolved | $5 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Spread: France (-3.5)World Cup | FranceResolved | $2 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?World Cup | YesResolved | $30 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 13?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 2.5World Cup | OverResolved | $5 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5World Cup | OverResolved | $3 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to ScoreWorld Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-06?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9?Crypto | YesResolved | $10 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Economy | NoResolved | $5 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 8?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $10 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?Culture | NoResolved | $5 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $151 | 7.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$151 |
| LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOUD - Game 2 WinnereSports | Vivo Keyd StarsResolved | $10 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 4.5World Cup | OverResolved | $1 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL PlayoffseSports | Fluxo W7MResolved | $10 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World Cup | YesResolved | $140 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$140 |
 No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 6.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $95 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$95 |
| England leading at halftime?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Spread: Morocco (-1.5)World Cup | MoroccoResolved | $1 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Spread: France (-5.5)World Cup | FranceResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5World Cup | OverResolved | $3 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Tech | NoResolved | $20 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?World Cup | YesResolved | $4 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 15?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World Cup | YesResolved | $50 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $50 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Igor Thiago: 1+ goalsWorld Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 12.5 Total CornersWorld Cup | OverResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $10 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $30 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5World Cup | OverResolved | $5 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to ScoreWorld Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $80 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
 Will Neymar Jr.'s national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $50 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?World Cup | NoResolved | $2 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Spread: United States (-1.5)World Cup | United StatesResolved | $2 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $5 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)World Cup | NetherlandsResolved | $1 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Croatia leading at halftime?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $25 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
 Raphinha: 1+ goalsWorld Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5World Cup | OverResolved | $3 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 5?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Politics | NoResolved | $50 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $50 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 WinnereSports | Leviatán EsportsResolved | $6 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $30 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Culture | NoResolved | $10 | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 13?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Valorant: LOUD vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 WinnereSports | LOUDResolved | $5 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsWorld Cup | NoResolved | $5 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Scotland vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5World Cup | OverResolved | $1 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsWorld Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?Soccer (other) | NoResolved | $50 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $25 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Sold Yes · Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?$9815d ago
Sold Yes · Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?$5715d ago
Sold Yes · Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1824d ago
Sold No · Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?$624d ago