| Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?Other sports | Yes | $663 | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$208 |
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $100 | 72¢ | 94¢ | +$29 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $50 | 59¢ | 38¢ | -$18 |
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | Yes | $20 | 42¢ | 40¢ | -$1 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $50 | 25¢ | 8.5¢ | -$33 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $20 | 43¢ | 33¢ | -$5 |
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | No | $10 | 20¢ | 22¢ | +$1 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $20 | 44¢ | 24¢ | -$9 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 15¢ | 7.5¢ | -$10 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | Yes | $20 | 11¢ | 4.3¢ | -$12 |
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $10 | 1.8¢ | 1.2¢ | -$3 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Politics | YesResolved | $110 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$110 |
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?Politics | YesResolved | $120 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $300 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?Politics | YesResolved | $27 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?Culture | NoResolved | $50 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $92 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$92 |
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Politics | NoResolved | $300 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$300 |
Israel military action against Iraq by Friday?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy | YesResolved | $25 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Politics | YesResolved | $195 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$195 |
Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Trump Media acquire a crypto exchange in 2024?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Trump and Elon say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during their Feb 18 interview?Mentions | YesResolved | $15 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Kristi Noem out by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $349 | 88¢ | 0.0¢ | -$349 |
Will the Liberal Reform Party win the most seats in the Icelandic parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Laure Lavalette be the next mayor of Toulon?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Politics | YesResolved | $210 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$210 |
Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Trump nominate Doug Burgum for Energy Secretary?Politics | YesResolved | $27 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will Trump's approval rating be between 45.5% and 45.9% on June 13?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $85 | 6.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$85 |
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 9.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $80 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
Iran leadership change by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?Politics | YesResolved | $119 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$119 |
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $43 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 5.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Politics | YesResolved | $60 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will Donald Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during Merz events on June 5?Mentions | YesResolved | $20 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Other | YesResolved | $2 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?Mentions | YesResolved | $51 | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | -$51 |
Will Fine Gael win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Joey Chestnut eat 70+ Hot Dogs? Other sports | NoResolved | $20 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $100 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?Mentions | YesResolved | $30 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?Politics | YesResolved | $132 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$132 |
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Other | YesResolved | $5 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $23 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.0% and 46.4% on June 13?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will AUR win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
Will Álvaro Delgado win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Trump takes Panama Canal in first 100 days?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Trump nominate Linda McMahon for Commerce Secretary?Politics | YesResolved | $168 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$168 |
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Iran leadership change by March 13?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?World Cup | NoResolved | $5 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Tech | YesResolved | $200 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
US-China trade deal before June?Politics | NoResolved | $24 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Will the next Pope be from Europe?Politics | YesResolved | $200 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by September 30?Politics | NoResolved | $78 | 85¢ | 0.0¢ | -$78 |
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the Independence Party win the most seats in the Icelandic parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?Politics | YesResolved | $86 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$86 |
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $50 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Another U.S. strike on Fordow nuclear facility before July?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Politics | NoResolved | $30 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
US military action against Iran in April?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |