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eratoxtenex

Predicting since Mar 2026583 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $2.0K on Politics markets since Mar 2026.

Right now: $769 riding on Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$76996¢99¢+$25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$58072¢80¢+$56
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsNo$47974¢93¢+$122
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$52287¢92¢+$27
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsYes$39599¢99¢+$2
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$39699¢99¢+$2
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$38396¢99¢+$12
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$37093¢96¢+$14
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$34990¢93¢+$8
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?PoliticsYes$27993¢99¢+$17
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$29273¢73¢-$1
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?PoliticsNo$25886¢94¢+$24
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$25050¢56¢+$28
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?WeatherYes$23884¢95¢+$29
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsNo$15953¢69¢+$47
Will Janet Mills be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsNo$19497¢100¢+$6
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$19598¢100¢+$4
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?PoliticsNo$17085¢100¢+$29
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$19264¢63¢-$5
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$13869¢94¢+$49
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?PoliticsNo$14558¢61¢+$6
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsYes$12864¢69¢+$11
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherYes$12261¢66¢+$9
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?PoliticsYes$11739¢40¢+$3
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$6565¢100¢+$35
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$8282¢89¢+$6
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherYes$6432¢34¢+$5
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?EconomyNo$5164¢73¢+$7
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?Soccer (other)No$4156¢72¢+$11
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$4683¢90¢+$4
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?PoliticsYes$3913¢14¢+$2
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?PoliticsYes$14336¢9.0¢-$107
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?TechYes$5327¢17¢-$20
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3737¢33¢-$4
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$303.0¢2.9¢-$2
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?PoliticsYes$172.4¢3.6¢+$8
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2725¢21¢-$5
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$6923¢6.5¢-$50
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$101.0¢1.6¢+$6
Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by July 31?OtherYes$6923¢3.5¢-$59
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other)Yes$3370¢17¢-$25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$11055¢0.7¢-$109
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?CultureYes$77.0¢1.2¢-$6
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?CryptoYesResolved$192.7¢0.0¢-$19
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?eSportsYesResolved$08.9¢0.0¢-$0
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$51.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?TechYesResolved$170.8¢0.0¢-$17
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$50.5¢0.0¢-$5
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$186.0¢0.0¢-$18
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5628¢0.0¢-$56
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAConor McGregorResolved$13833¢0.0¢-$138
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?PoliticsYesResolved$16555¢0.0¢-$165
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?PoliticsYesResolved$3324¢0.0¢-$33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$186.1¢0.0¢-$18
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - XSE Pro League PlayoffseSportsBetBoom TeamResolved$8959¢0.0¢-$89
Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$73.5¢0.0¢-$7
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$264.3¢0.0¢-$26
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?PoliticsYesResolved$163.6¢0.0¢-$16
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$2311¢0.0¢-$23
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League PlayoffseSportsFaZeResolved$10251¢0.0¢-$102
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$147.0¢0.0¢-$14
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$126.0¢0.0¢-$12
Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?World CupYesResolved$203.9¢0.0¢-$20
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$98.0¢0.0¢-$9
Will Phil Lyman be the Republican nominee for UT-03?PoliticsYesResolved$90.9¢0.0¢-$9
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$28548¢0.0¢-$285
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$23478¢0.0¢-$234
Will Trump attend 2 World Cup matches?World CupYesResolved$1511¢0.0¢-$15
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLNoResolved$41.1¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?World CupNoResolved$19439¢0.0¢-$194
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1232¢0.0¢-$12
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?PoliticsYesResolved$1456.8¢0.0¢-$145
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$27.5¢0.0¢-$2
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?PoliticsYesResolved$301.2¢0.0¢-$30
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?PoliticsYesResolved$4612¢0.0¢-$46
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$51.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$212¢0.0¢-$2
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$238¢0.0¢-$2
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?TechYesResolved$115.3¢0.0¢-$11

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$2.0K
Crypto+$608
eSports+$420
Tech+$388
World Cup+$235
Culture+$212
NBA-$199
Other sports+$140
Tennis+$82
Mentions+$51
NHL-$51
UFC / MMA-$41
Biggest hit
+$477
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?
Toughest beat
-$592
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$10710h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$711h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$1411h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$016h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$016h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$20016h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?$419h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?$4919h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?$71d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?$121d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?$981d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?$371d ago