← Whale Watch
empiricist
All-time PnL
+$0This year
+$0Last 30 days
+$0Portfolio value
$0Deep stats
Bucko OracleLoading…
Profit over time
What they are betting now
| Market | Side | Stake | Entry | Now | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $29 | 70¢ | 75¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?Weather | No | $34 | 44¢ | 40¢ | -$3 |
 Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?Weather | No | $20 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $10 | 71¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $10 | 82¢ | 82¢ | -$0 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 53¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $1 | 66¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Economy | No | $1 | 72¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 88¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 89¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 89¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather | No | $1 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will Alberta join the US? Politics | No | $1 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Where the money comes from
Realized + open PnL by category
Politics+$2
Weather+$1
Economy+$0
Biggest hit
+$6
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Recent moves
- Bought No · Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?$291d ago
- Sold No · Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?$231d ago
- Bought No · Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?$201d ago
- Bought No · Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?$626d ago
- Cashed out Yes · Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 1, 2026?$2529d ago
- Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$101mo ago
- Bought No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$101mo ago
- Bought Yes · Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 1, 2026?$101mo ago
- Bought Yes · Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 1, 2026?$101mo ago
- Cashed out Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$01mo ago
Cashed out Yes · US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$02mo ago- Cashed out Yes · US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$02mo ago