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Spielermann

Predicting since Jul 202684 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $514 riding on Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$51462¢63¢+$5
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$19978¢91¢+$35
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$18091¢93¢+$3
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$15089¢98¢+$15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$20523¢17¢-$56
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$9166¢88¢+$30
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?PoliticsNo$8493¢95¢+$1
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?PoliticsYes$6621¢23¢+$5
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?CryptoYes$1044.7¢2.3¢-$54
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$8025¢11¢-$46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$4425¢18¢-$12
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2587¢93¢+$2
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$47.4¢51¢+$22
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?CryptoYes$412.4¢1.5¢-$16
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?MentionsNo$1786¢100¢+$3
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsYes$542.3¢0.8¢-$35
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?PoliticsYes$187.6¢7.5¢-$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?PoliticsYes$697¢100¢+$0
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$596¢94¢-$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?CryptoYes$91.1¢0.7¢-$4
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?PoliticsYes$42.8¢2.7¢-$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$275.4¢0.7¢-$24
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$163¢97¢+$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

World Cup+$192
Tech-$134
Politics+$121
Crypto-$114
NFL+$9
Mentions+$0
Culture+$0
Biggest hit
+$124
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
Toughest beat
-$141
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?$2531h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?$21h ago
  • Bought No · Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?$27213h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?$418h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?$118h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$5018h ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$4519h ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$319h ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$719h ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$11819h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$2519h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$019h ago