 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $44K | 50¢ | 57¢ | +$6.5K |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $44K | 50¢ | 43¢ | -$6.5K |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 30¢ | 63¢ | +$1.2K |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $948 | 63¢ | 76¢ | +$195 |
 Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $115 | 16¢ | 70¢ | +$387 |
 Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Politics | Yes | $410 | 82¢ | 95¢ | +$67 |
 Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $416 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$21 |
| Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?Tech | No | $251 | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$178 |
| Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?Tech | No | $157 | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$145 |
 ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?Tech | No | $297 | 55¢ | 56¢ | +$1 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Michigan remarks?Mentions | Yes | $247 | 60¢ | 69¢ | +$38 |
 Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $249 | 83¢ | 94¢ | +$32 |
 Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $230 | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$0 |
| Will Trump’s remarks not air?Mentions | No | $178 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$5 |
 Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $150 | 22¢ | 27¢ | +$31 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $30 | 2.0¢ | 9.6¢ | +$117 |
| Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | Yes | $131 | 61¢ | 69¢ | +$16 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $100 | 5.0¢ | 5.1¢ | +$3 |
| Will Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | Yes | $87 | 32¢ | 38¢ | +$15 |
| Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | Yes | $90 | 39¢ | 43¢ | +$8 |
| Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?Mentions | No | $48 | 38¢ | 75¢ | +$46 |
 Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?Other sports | Yes | $210 | 62¢ | 28¢ | -$117 |
| Will Warsh say "Task Force" 20+ times during July Press Conference?Mentions | No | $62 | 57¢ | 76¢ | +$21 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Politics | Yes | $168 | 16¢ | 7.5¢ | -$90 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?Politics | Yes | $157 | 57¢ | 28¢ | -$80 |
| Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | No | $63 | 41¢ | 50¢ | +$13 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $69 | 2.3¢ | 2.4¢ | +$1 |
| Will Trump say "Toyota" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | No | $66 | 41¢ | 44¢ | +$4 |
| Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | Yes | $53 | 32¢ | 39¢ | +$12 |
| Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?Mentions | Yes | $51 | 43¢ | 54¢ | +$13 |
| Will Trump say "Nobody Like Him" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | No | $38 | 31¢ | 49¢ | +$22 |
| Will Trump say "Motor City" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | Yes | $64 | 49¢ | 46¢ | -$5 |
 Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $60 | 19¢ | 18¢ | -$4 |
| Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 10+ times during Michigan remarks?Mentions | No | $34 | 44¢ | 71¢ | +$20 |
| Will Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | No | $31 | 31¢ | 41¢ | +$10 |
| Will Trump say "Ethanol" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | Yes | $24 | 17¢ | 28¢ | +$16 |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | Yes | $23 | 38¢ | 68¢ | +$17 |
| Will Trump say "Percent" 15+ times during Michigan remarks?Mentions | Yes | $28 | 50¢ | 67¢ | +$9 |
| Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $6 | 0.2¢ | 1.3¢ | +$30 |
| Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $31 | 20¢ | 22¢ | +$2 |
| Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $26 | 11¢ | 14¢ | +$6 |
| Will Trump say "Security" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | Yes | $8 | 20¢ | 64¢ | +$18 |
| Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | Yes | $18 | 40¢ | 56¢ | +$7 |
| Will Warsh say "Independence" during July Press Conference?Mentions | No | $14 | 36¢ | 59¢ | +$9 |
 Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $40 | 1.3¢ | 0.8¢ | -$17 |
| Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?Mentions | No | $26 | 27¢ | 24¢ | -$3 |
| Will Warsh say "Echo of History" during July Press Conference?Mentions | No | $23 | 48¢ | 47¢ | -$1 |
| Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $16 | 36¢ | 49¢ | +$6 |
| Will Warsh say "Renovation" during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $18 | 6.0¢ | 6.5¢ | +$1 |
| Will Trump say "Oil" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | Yes | $17 | 80¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $20 | 2.0¢ | 1.8¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?Politics | Yes | $19 | 15¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 1.1¢ | 3.1¢ | +$11 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | Yes | $27 | 15¢ | 9.5¢ | -$10 |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | Yes | $13 | 64¢ | 80¢ | +$3 |
| Will Trump say "Hottest" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | Yes | $4 | 20¢ | 78¢ | +$12 |
| Will Trump say "Forever" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | No | $8 | 13¢ | 27¢ | +$8 |
| Will Trump say "Save America" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | Yes | $6 | 30¢ | 76¢ | +$10 |
| Will Trump say "Regulation" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | Yes | $8 | 40¢ | 76¢ | +$7 |
| Will Trump say "Loan" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | Yes | $4 | 20¢ | 72¢ | +$11 |
| Will Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | Yes | $3 | 16¢ | 60¢ | +$9 |
| Will Trump say "Loan" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | No | $10 | 25¢ | 28¢ | +$1 |
| Will Trump say "Trump" 5+ times during Michigan remarks?Mentions | No | $5 | 9.0¢ | 19¢ | +$6 |
| Will Trump say "Gay" or "Homosexual" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | Yes | $10 | 5.3¢ | 4.5¢ | -$2 |
| Will Trump say "Mars" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | Yes | $6 | 15¢ | 17¢ | +$1 |
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | Yes | $12 | 9.0¢ | 2.5¢ | -$9 |
 Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $30 | 2.0¢ | 0.1¢ | -$28 |
 Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 10¢ | 5.3¢ | -$2 |
| Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | Yes | $1 | 2.0¢ | 2.9¢ | +$1 |
| Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?Tech | Yes | $0 | 13¢ | 38¢ | +$1 |
| Will Warsh say "Independence" during July Press Conference?Mentions | Yes | $1 | 20¢ | 42¢ | +$1 |
 Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another) win Best Actor – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?Culture | YesResolved | $49 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$49 |
| Will the announcers say "Fan" 10+ times during the Belgium vs Senegal FIFA World Cup Match?World Cup | YesResolved | $28 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
 Will Trump say "N Word" in January?Mentions | YesResolved | $53 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$53 |
| Will Trump say "Midterm" during Rose Garden Club Dinner events?Mentions | YesResolved | $21 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
| Will the announcers say "Resilience" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?World Cup | YesResolved | $0 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will The Secret Agent win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?Culture | YesResolved | $42 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
 Will Naomi Osaka be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Tech | YesResolved | $16 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 Will Trump name "Leavitt" in April?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?World Cup | YesResolved | $61 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$61 |
 Will Trump say "Golden Dome" this week? (February 15)Mentions | YesResolved | $26 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
| Will "F1" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?Culture | NoResolved | $107 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$107 |
 Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Speech to the Nation?Mentions | YesResolved | $7 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Trump say "World War II" during dinner with Dutch royals?Mentions | YesResolved | $3 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump say "Tren de Aragua" this week? (March 1)Mentions | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $54 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
| Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during Rose Garden Club Dinner events?Mentions | YesResolved | $35 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5World Cup | OverResolved | $19 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
| Will Amanda Seyfried (Long Bright River) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $141 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$141 |
 Will "Gachiakuta" win Best Action Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the announcers say "Assist" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?World Cup | YesResolved | $57 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$57 |
| Will Trump's Speech to the Nation be between 15 and 20 minutes long?Politics | YesResolved | $69 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$69 |
 Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times at Fort Bragg on Friday?Mentions | YesResolved | $35 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Politics | NoResolved | $42 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
 Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
