← Whale Watch

JPLP

Predicting since Nov 20221,407 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $32K on Politics markets since Nov 2022.

Right now: $6.4K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$6.3K on Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$6.3K90¢96¢+$383
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$3.2K91¢96¢+$151
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$3.2K92¢96¢+$144
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.7K92¢97¢+$142
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$2.8K25¢24¢-$150
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$1.9K62¢64¢+$31
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$1.5K88¢97¢+$160
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsNo$1.5K91¢97¢+$109
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?PoliticsYes$1.5K95¢98¢+$45
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$1.4K82¢93¢+$185
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.3K92¢97¢+$74
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$1.4K88¢88¢-$3
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$84740¢63¢+$465
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.3K92¢93¢+$23
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?PoliticsNo$99571¢81¢+$134
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$1.0K86¢90¢+$47
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$97586¢94¢+$89
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsNo$1.0K85¢78¢-$83
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceNo$84184¢88¢+$34
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?PoliticsNo$69280¢94¢+$114
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$57063¢80¢+$146
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?PoliticsNo$60179¢87¢+$59
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?OtherNo$54178¢84¢+$42
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$52487¢96¢+$55
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$47757¢64¢+$50
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$49482¢87¢+$25
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$44564¢68¢+$28
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?PoliticsYes$36962¢79¢+$100
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$36136¢44¢+$74
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$41386¢87¢+$3
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$43443¢38¢-$59
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$26767¢92¢+$99
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$35444¢42¢-$22
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$31362¢66¢+$15
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?PoliticsNo$26587¢97¢+$29
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$14626¢52¢+$142
Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026?PoliticsNo$24981¢93¢+$35
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$25829¢31¢+$24
NATO article 5 before 2027?PoliticsNo$24180¢92¢+$35
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?PoliticsNo$26087¢90¢+$11
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?PoliticsNo$21171¢90¢+$56
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$27361¢56¢-$18
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$23526¢26¢-$5
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsNo$19775¢88¢+$32
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$18078¢93¢+$33
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?PoliticsNo$18578¢88¢+$22
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$19296¢99¢+$7
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?PoliticsNo$19196¢98¢+$5
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$16984¢97¢+$24
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$16181¢93¢+$24
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$17688¢92¢+$7
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$16325¢23¢-$16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$12283¢95¢+$17
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?PoliticsNo$11476¢91¢+$23
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?PoliticsYes$12993¢94¢+$1
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026?PoliticsNo$7453¢93¢+$56
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$47813¢3.4¢-$356
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$11345¢44¢-$4
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?PoliticsYes$9384¢98¢+$15
Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026?PoliticsNo$9185¢93¢+$8
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$8989¢96¢+$7
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsNo$8080¢95¢+$15
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9090¢95¢+$4
Iran nuclear test before 2027?PoliticsNo$8686¢94¢+$8
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?PoliticsNo$6752¢74¢+$27
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsNo$6262¢93¢+$32
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$8787¢93¢+$6
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?PoliticsNo$9191¢92¢+$1
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$8082¢93¢+$11
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?PoliticsNo$7272¢90¢+$18
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$8181¢87¢+$6
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePoliticsNo$8282¢87¢+$5
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsNo$7979¢83¢+$4
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?PoliticsNo$7786¢92¢+$5
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?PoliticsYes$8341¢41¢-$1
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?PoliticsNo$7669¢75¢+$6
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?PoliticsNo$5757¢78¢+$21
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5873¢88¢+$12
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsYes$4623¢34¢+$23
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?PoliticsNo$6083¢95¢+$8
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$28235¢8.5¢-$214
Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?PoliticsYes$5996¢99¢+$2
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?WeatherYes$4642¢55¢+$14
Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$5790¢94¢+$3
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsNo$3544¢68¢+$19
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$4429¢36¢+$10
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$36164¢9.0¢-$310
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$4361¢68¢+$4
Blue tsunami in 2026?PoliticsYes$5048¢45¢-$4
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026PoliticsYes$2346¢77¢+$15
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? PoliticsNo$3281¢90¢+$4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$284.0¢5.1¢+$8
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$2666¢88¢+$9
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$3366¢67¢+$0
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$3417¢17¢-$1
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?PoliticsYes$3121¢21¢-$0
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?PoliticsNo$2584¢96¢+$4
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026?PoliticsNo$1030¢88¢+$18
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2525¢27¢+$2
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?PoliticsYes$111.5¢3.4¢+$14

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$32K
UFC / MMA-$3.9K
Crypto+$576
Other-$503
Tech-$394
Culture+$271
World Cup-$130
NHL+$65
Olympics-$44
Mentions+$32
Hockey (other)+$27
Finance+$16
Biggest hit
+$6.3K
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Toughest beat
-$12K
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$01h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$01h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$01h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$01h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$121h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$32h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$313h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?$74h ago
  • Bought No · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$385h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$275h ago
  • Bought No · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$388h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$311h ago