US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | Yes | $201 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | Yes | $156 | 78¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $120 | 80¢ | 80¢ | -$1 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Politics | Yes | $102 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $86 | 86¢ | 99¢ | +$13 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | Yes | $65 | 93¢ | 92¢ | -$1 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Politics | Yes | $62 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $64 | 92¢ | 85¢ | -$5 |
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $43 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $51 | 94¢ | 81¢ | -$7 |
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?Tech | Yes | $49 | 94¢ | 72¢ | -$12 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Politics | No | $36 | 67¢ | 65¢ | -$1 |
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $51 | 92¢ | 53¢ | -$21 |
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $39 | 56¢ | 41¢ | -$11 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?Economy | Yes | $24 | 98¢ | 94¢ | -$1 |
Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $22 | 91¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $21 | 93¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $27 | 94¢ | 70¢ | -$7 |
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?Politics | Over | $20 | 82¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 91¢ | 84¢ | -$2 |
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Politics | No | $17 | 68¢ | 73¢ | +$1 |
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $20 | 81¢ | 68¢ | -$3 |
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $27 | 92¢ | 49¢ | -$13 |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $13 | 33¢ | 35¢ | +$1 |
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $35 | 64¢ | 24¢ | -$22 |
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $13 | 88¢ | 84¢ | -$1 |
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $17 | 31¢ | 16¢ | -$8 |
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $14 | 58¢ | 23¢ | -$9 |
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $2 | 93¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 14, 2026?Tech | Yes | $14 | 58¢ | 4.8¢ | -$13 |
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 75¢ | 24¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $20 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Jenson Brooksby advance to the Final in Gentlemen's Singles at Wimbledon 2026?Tennis | YesResolved | $55 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
Will Rafael Jodar advance to the Final in Gentlemen's Singles at Wimbledon 2026?Tennis | YesResolved | $16 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $9 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $20 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Aniya Harvey win Love Island USA Season 8?Culture | YesResolved | $9 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?Economy | YesResolved | $7 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $42 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 WinnereSports | T1Resolved | $6 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will any state ban or pause police use of Flock cameras by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $14 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will Claude Sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5MLB | OverResolved | $5 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $0 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in August?Economy | YesResolved | $4 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League PlayoffseSports | FaZeResolved | $267 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$267 |
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 115m?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will "Green" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Mentions | YesResolved | $60 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $8 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | YesResolved | $95 | 95¢ | 0.0¢ | -$95 |
Will Michael Zheng advance to the Final in Gentlemen's Singles at Wimbledon 2026?Tennis | YesResolved | $52 | 6.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$52 |
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasoneSports | DisguisedResolved | $105 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$105 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $21 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
Will the announcers say "Patience" during the Belgium vs Senegal FIFA World Cup Match?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Shintaro Mochizuki advance to the Final in Gentlemen's Singles at Wimbledon 2026?Tennis | YesResolved | $60 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will Claude Sonnet 5 debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina advance to the Final in Gentlemen's Singles at Wimbledon 2026?Tennis | YesResolved | $5 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Lorenzo Sonego advance to the Final in Gentlemen's Singles at Wimbledon 2026?Tennis | YesResolved | $5 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $60 | 92¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?Crypto | YesResolved | $84 | 84¢ | 0.0¢ | -$84 |
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasoneSports | ShiftersResolved | $15 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |