 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Tech | No | $2.1K | 60¢ | 56¢ | -$150 |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $643 | 49¢ | 48¢ | -$17 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $591 | 20¢ | 20¢ | -$21 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Tech | No | $267 | 14¢ | 24¢ | +$177 |
 Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Tech | Yes | $449 | 86¢ | 82¢ | -$19 |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $167 | 28¢ | 48¢ | +$120 |
 Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $342 | 14¢ | 11¢ | -$79 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $249 | 83¢ | 83¢ | -$2 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $337 | 3.9¢ | 2.8¢ | -$100 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | Yes | $148 | 15¢ | 19¢ | +$37 |
 Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?eSports | Yes | $96 | 19¢ | 35¢ | +$79 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Tech | Yes | $75 | 32¢ | 70¢ | +$89 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $160 | 18¢ | 19¢ | +$4 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Tech | No | $93 | 6.1¢ | 8.3¢ | +$34 |
 Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | Yes | $62 | 3.1¢ | 5.1¢ | +$39 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Tech | Yes | $49 | 9.6¢ | 18¢ | +$42 |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher?Tech | Yes | $55 | 9.9¢ | 11¢ | +$3 |
 Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $53 | 99¢ | 98¢ | -$1 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | No | $41 | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$4 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $41 | 70¢ | 73¢ | +$1 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?Tech | No | $31 | 9.0¢ | 11¢ | +$7 |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Tech | No | $39 | 55¢ | 43¢ | -$9 |
 OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?Tech | OpenAI | $10 | 40¢ | 73¢ | +$8 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $11 | 4.3¢ | 3.3¢ | -$3 |
 Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.50T?Tech | Yes | $1 | 1.2¢ | 8.3¢ | +$5 |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $7 | 37¢ | 14¢ | -$4 |
 LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 WinnereSports | Hanwha Life EsportsResolved | $165 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$165 |
 Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4.0K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.0K |
| LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs MVK Esports - Game 3 WinnereSports | CTBC Flying OysterResolved | $33 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $31 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 8, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 6.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between September 7 and September 13, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $11 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?World Cup | NoResolved | $1.3K | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.3K |
 North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 WinnereSports | Hanwha Life Esports ChallengersResolved | $3 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial GroupeSports | Gen.G Global AcademyResolved | $225 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$225 |
| LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 WinnereSports | KT Rolster ChallengersResolved | $70 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70 |
 Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $12 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 9, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2eSports | Kiwoom DRX ChallengersResolved | $440 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$440 |
| LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasoneSports | Shopify RebellionResolved | $205 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$205 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnereSports | Dplus KIAResolved | $98 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$98 |
| LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 WinnereSports | EDward GamingResolved | $108 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$108 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnereSports | Hanwha Life EsportsResolved | $56 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
| LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 3 WinnereSports | Deep Cross GamingResolved | $12 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 WinnereSports | G2 EsportsResolved | $60 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
| Claude 4.7 released by June 30?Tech | NoResolved | $458 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$458 |
| LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 WinnereSports | Invictus GamingResolved | $117 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$117 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnereSports | KT RolsterResolved | $2 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2.8K | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.8K |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnereSports | KT RolsterResolved | $226 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$226 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupeSports | Gen.GResolved | $172 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$172 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnereSports | Hanwha Life EsportsResolved | $108 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$108 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5eSports | UnderResolved | $11 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 WinnereSports | KT Rolster ChallengersResolved | $124 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$124 |
| LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Game 2 WinnereSports | Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks GamingResolved | $120 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 |
| LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 WinnereSports | DN SOOPers ChallengersResolved | $34 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnereSports | Dplus KIAResolved | $168 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$168 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?World Cup | YesResolved | $561 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$561 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 WinnereSports | Bilibili GamingResolved | $306 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$306 |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group AeSports | FURIA EsportsResolved | $330 | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$330 |
| LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 WinnereSports | Dplus KIA ChallengersResolved | $280 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$280 |
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 4 WinnereSports | BNK FearX YouthResolved | $571 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$571 |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4.0K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.0K |
| LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 WinnereSports | T1Resolved | $60 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 10, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $25 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $4 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge GroupeSports | T1 AcademyResolved | $922 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$922 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnereSports | Bilibili GamingResolved | $31 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
| Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $76 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$76 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?Politics | NoResolved | $11 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 WinnereSports | KT RolsterResolved | $864 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$864 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch?Politics | NoResolved | $12 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 6, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge GroupeSports | DN SOOPers ChallengersResolved | $361 | 7.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$361 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $114 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$114 |
 Will KT Rolster Challengers win LCK CL 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $0 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $4.0K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.0K |
| LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular SeasoneSports | Eintracht FrankfurtResolved | $26 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
 Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $791 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$791 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 WinnereSports | Deep Cross GamingResolved | $3 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 WinnereSports | Deep Cross GamingResolved | $51 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$51 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnereSports | Hanwha Life EsportsResolved | $186 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$186 |
 Will BNK FEARX win First Stand 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $194 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$194 |
| Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $150 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League PlayoffseSports | Nongshim Esports AcademyResolved | $3 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK PlayoffseSports | T1Resolved | $350 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$350 |
| LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 WinnereSports | Kiwoom DRX ChallengersResolved | $23 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
| LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 WinnereSports | Cloud9Resolved | $160 | 9.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$160 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 1 WinnereSports | LYONResolved | $60 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
| LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 3 WinnereSports | T1 AcademyResolved | $4 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| LoL: Disguised vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnereSports | DisguisedResolved | $8 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 WinnereSports | DN SOOPersResolved | $78 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$78 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2.5K | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.5K |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?World Cup | YesResolved | $40 | 8.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
| LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Game 1 WinnereSports | DetonatioN FocusMeResolved | $2 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
