 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $732 | 84¢ | 97¢ | +$112 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Tech | No | $646 | 64¢ | 61¢ | -$36 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $428 | 79¢ | 97¢ | +$94 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $114 | 4.5¢ | 20¢ | +$389 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $183 | 76¢ | 89¢ | +$31 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Tech | Yes | $103 | 32¢ | 39¢ | +$23 |
 Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $73 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 29, 2026?Tech | Yes | $29 | 1.2¢ | 1.6¢ | +$9 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $16 | 61¢ | 74¢ | +$3 |
| Will a new Gemini flagship be released by July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 38¢ | 63¢ | +$2 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $371 | 4.0¢ | 0.1¢ | -$366 |
 Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $311 | 3.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$307 |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $311 | 3.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$307 |
 Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $311 | 3.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$307 |
 Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $311 | 3.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$307 |
 Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $311 | 3.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$307 |
 Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $311 | 3.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$307 |
 Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $311 | 3.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$307 |
 Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $196 | 3.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$193 |
| Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $12 | 3.8¢ | 0.8¢ | -$10 |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $19 | 2.8¢ | 0.4¢ | -$17 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $39 | 4.2¢ | 0.3¢ | -$37 |
 LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 WinnereSports | Hanwha Life EsportsResolved | $165 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$165 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $31 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 8, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 6.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?World Cup | NoResolved | $1.3K | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.3K |
 North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 9, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2eSports | Kiwoom DRX ChallengersResolved | $322 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$322 |
| LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasoneSports | Shopify RebellionResolved | $205 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$205 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnereSports | Dplus KIAResolved | $88 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$88 |
| LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 WinnereSports | EDward GamingResolved | $98 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$98 |
 Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 WinnereSports | G2 EsportsResolved | $60 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
 Claude 4.7 released by June 30?Tech | NoResolved | $458 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$458 |
| LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 WinnereSports | Invictus GamingResolved | $105 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$105 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnereSports | KT RolsterResolved | $226 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$226 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 WinnereSports | KT Rolster ChallengersResolved | $124 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$124 |
| LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Game 2 WinnereSports | Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks GamingResolved | $120 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnereSports | Dplus KIAResolved | $151 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$151 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?World Cup | YesResolved | $561 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$561 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 WinnereSports | Bilibili GamingResolved | $306 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$306 |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group AeSports | FURIA EsportsResolved | $330 | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$330 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 10, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $25 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $4 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnereSports | Bilibili GamingResolved | $31 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 6, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular SeasoneSports | Eintracht FrankfurtResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 WinnereSports | Deep Cross GamingResolved | $3 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 WinnereSports | Deep Cross GamingResolved | $51 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$51 |
 Will BNK FEARX win First Stand 2026?eSports | YesResolved | $194 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$194 |
| Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $150 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$150 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 1 WinnereSports | LYONResolved | $60 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?World Cup | YesResolved | $41 | 8.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
| LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Game 1 WinnereSports | DetonatioN FocusMeResolved | $2 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | ArgentinaResolved | $442 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$442 |
| LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 WinnereSports | FlyQuestResolved | $318 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$318 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $529 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$529 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $563 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$563 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 6, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?NBA | YesResolved | $470 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$470 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs MIBR.LOS (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group DeSports | MIBR.LOSResolved | $147 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$147 |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnereSports | G2 EsportsResolved | $6.8K | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6.8K |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 WinnereSports | G2 EsportsResolved | $177 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$177 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $40 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5World Cup | OverResolved | $20 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $18 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Swiss StageeSports | Deep Cross GamingResolved | $9 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 7, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Games Total: O/U 3.5eSports | UnderResolved | $507 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$507 |
| LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 WinnereSports | T1Resolved | $272 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$272 |
