Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $20 | 77¢ | 91¢ | +$4 |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 81¢ | 93¢ | +$3 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Politics | No | $10 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $10 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Politics | No | $10 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?Politics | No | $10 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Politics | No | $10 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 33¢ | 21¢ | -$4 |
New pandemic in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 11¢ | 6.5¢ | -$4 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $4 | 50¢ | 57¢ | +$1 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $4 | 50¢ | 43¢ | -$1 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Finance | YesResolved | $15 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Finance | NoResolved | $10 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $30 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $35 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Politics | NoResolved | $40 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?Finance | YesResolved | $5 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?Culture | YesResolved | $20 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?Culture | YesResolved | $10 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Politics | YesResolved | $45 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?Politics | Leadership ChangeResolved | $2 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?NHL | YesResolved | $10 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 8.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $12 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Politics | NoResolved | $30 | 92¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will MrBeast hit 118 billion views by April 30?Culture | NoResolved | $5 | 7.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?Finance | YesResolved | $5 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Politics | NoResolved | $45 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics | NoResolved | $65 | 89¢ | 0.0¢ | -$65 |
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 29?Finance | DownResolved | $1 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $34 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $21 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Juan Manuel CerundoloTennis | Juan Manuel CerundoloResolved | $10 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?Finance | YesResolved | $2 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?Finance | YesResolved | $5 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Politics | NoResolved | $16 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will MrBeast hit 118.5 billion views by April 30?Culture | NoResolved | $10 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Finance | NoResolved | $25 | 95¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Trump visit China by May 15?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $46 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |