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Predicting since Nov 2025693 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.1K on Politics markets since Nov 2025.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$2077¢91¢+$4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$2081¢93¢+$3
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsNo$1095¢99¢+$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$1095¢99¢+$0
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?PoliticsYes$1094¢95¢+$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$1096¢96¢+$0
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?PoliticsNo$1094¢94¢-$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?PoliticsNo$1095¢95¢-$0
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?PoliticsNo$1094¢94¢-$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$1033¢21¢-$4
New pandemic in 2026?PoliticsYes$1011¢6.5¢-$4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$450¢57¢+$1
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$450¢43¢-$1
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$154.0¢0.0¢-$15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?FinanceNoResolved$1061¢0.0¢-$10
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$3075¢0.0¢-$30
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?PoliticsNoResolved$235¢0.0¢-$2
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?PoliticsYesResolved$133¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$3577¢0.0¢-$35
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?PoliticsNoResolved$4071¢0.0¢-$40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?FinanceYesResolved$510¢0.0¢-$5
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?CultureYesResolved$2074¢0.0¢-$20
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?CultureYesResolved$1048¢0.0¢-$10
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?PoliticsYesResolved$521¢0.0¢-$5
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?CultureYesResolved$58.5¢0.0¢-$5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1056¢0.0¢-$10
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?PoliticsYesResolved$451.2¢0.0¢-$45
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?CultureYesResolved$57.8¢0.0¢-$5
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?PoliticsLeadership ChangeResolved$236¢0.0¢-$2
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$2055¢0.0¢-$20
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?NHLYesResolved$1018¢0.0¢-$10
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$208.6¢0.0¢-$20
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1279¢0.0¢-$12
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?PoliticsNoResolved$3092¢0.0¢-$30
Will MrBeast hit 118 billion views by April 30?CultureNoResolved$57.3¢0.0¢-$5
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?CultureYesResolved$55.5¢0.0¢-$5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?FinanceYesResolved$56.0¢0.0¢-$5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?PoliticsNoResolved$4542¢0.0¢-$45
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$1039¢0.0¢-$10
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?FinanceYesResolved$152¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$200.2¢0.0¢-$20
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$25.8¢0.0¢-$2
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$2077¢0.0¢-$20
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?PoliticsNoResolved$6589¢0.0¢-$65
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 29?FinanceDownResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$342.0¢0.0¢-$34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2180¢0.0¢-$21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1025¢0.0¢-$10
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Juan Manuel CerundoloTennisJuan Manuel CerundoloResolved$1054¢0.0¢-$10
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?PoliticsNoResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$21.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$108.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?FinanceYesResolved$20.6¢0.0¢-$2
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$543¢0.0¢-$5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$534¢0.0¢-$5
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?PoliticsYesResolved$1018¢0.0¢-$10
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?TechYesResolved$511¢0.0¢-$5
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$55.0¢0.0¢-$5
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$125¢0.0¢-$1
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?CultureYesResolved$569¢0.0¢-$5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?FinanceYesResolved$533¢0.0¢-$5
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?CultureYesResolved$525¢0.0¢-$5
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m?CultureYesResolved$10.8¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?PoliticsNoResolved$1679¢0.0¢-$16
Will MrBeast hit 118.5 billion views by April 30?CultureNoResolved$1019¢0.0¢-$10
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2076¢0.0¢-$20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?FinanceNoResolved$2595¢0.0¢-$25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1077¢0.0¢-$10
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?PoliticsYesResolved$2036¢0.0¢-$20
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?PoliticsNoResolved$2077¢0.0¢-$20
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$518¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump visit China by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$59.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$4675¢0.0¢-$46

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$1.1K
Tech-$371
Economy-$95
Hockey (other)+$64
Culture-$62
Finance-$55
Weather-$39
Basketball (other)-$27
Olympics+$23
eSports-$18
NBA-$17
Tennis-$14
Biggest hit
+$61
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Toughest beat
-$378
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$102d ago
  • Bought No · Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?$102d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?$102d ago
  • Bought No · Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?$102d ago
  • Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$102d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1011d ago
  • Bought No · Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$1011d ago
  • Cashed out No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$1218d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$1622d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?$1524d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?$2625d ago
  • Cashed out No · US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?$2625d ago