Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $54K | 64¢ | 85¢ | +$17K |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $50K | 50¢ | 50¢ | +$400 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $50K | 50¢ | 50¢ | -$400 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $26K | 80¢ | 80¢ | -$124 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $27K | 32¢ | 14¢ | -$15K |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?Politics | Yes | $5.3K | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$341 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics | No | $4.7K | 82¢ | 81¢ | -$101 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1.6K | 23¢ | 26¢ | +$161 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $1.2K | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$15 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $995 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | Yes | $558 | 72¢ | 73¢ | +$4 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | Yes | $526 | 60¢ | 62¢ | +$17 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Politics | Yes | $453 | 62¢ | 64¢ | +$11 |
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $365 | 76¢ | 95¢ | +$93 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | No | $442 | 16¢ | 14¢ | -$32 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 43¢ | 6.5¢ | -$1.5K |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | Yes | $186 | 62¢ | 83¢ | +$62 |
Iran leadership change by November 30?Politics | No | $247 | 91¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $190 | 19¢ | 22¢ | +$25 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Politics | Yes | $73 | 73¢ | 86¢ | +$13 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | Yes | $83 | 2.6¢ | 1.8¢ | -$27 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Politics | No | $103 | 37¢ | 17¢ | -$57 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $544 | 20¢ | 0.8¢ | -$524 |
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 81¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1.8K | 20¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1.8K |
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $132 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$132 |
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?Politics | NoResolved | $58 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$58 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $104 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$104 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?Politics | YesResolved | $33K | 86¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33K |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Politics | YesResolved | $8.4K | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8.4K |
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $991 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$991 |
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Champions League | YesResolved | $85K | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$85K |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $132 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$132 |
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?Politics | YesResolved | $617 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$617 |
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Politics | NoResolved | $64 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$64 |
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Premier League | YesResolved | $18 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?Politics | YesResolved | $207 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$207 |
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $356 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$356 |
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Tech | NoResolved | $12 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?Politics | YesResolved | $63 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$63 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $205 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$205 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $474 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$474 |
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $27 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?Politics | YesResolved | $101 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$101 |
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 22?Politics | NoResolved | $46 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$46 |
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $207 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$207 |
Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?Politics | YesResolved | $314 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$314 |
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $106 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$106 |