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Predicting since Mar 20251,161 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $948K on Politics markets since Mar 2025.

Right now: $150K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$602K on Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$75K50¢80¢+$46K
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$42K58¢79¢+$15K
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$39K50¢57¢+$5.6K
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$39K50¢43¢-$5.6K
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$75K50¢20¢-$46K
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsYes$24K38¢21¢-$11K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$78292¢99¢+$62
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1.7K43¢13¢-$1.2K
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$36576¢95¢+$93
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$881¢95¢+$1
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1062.0¢0.0¢-$106
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1322.8¢0.0¢-$132
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1062.0¢0.0¢-$106
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?PoliticsNoResolved$5829¢0.0¢-$58
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1044.9¢0.0¢-$104
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?PoliticsYesResolved$33K86¢0.0¢-$33K
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?PoliticsYesResolved$8.4K16¢0.0¢-$8.4K
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?PoliticsYesResolved$204.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1062.0¢0.0¢-$106
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1062.0¢0.0¢-$106
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$9914.0¢0.0¢-$991
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Champions LeagueYesResolved$85K33¢0.0¢-$85K
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$13211¢0.0¢-$132
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1062.0¢0.0¢-$106
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1062.0¢0.0¢-$106
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1062.0¢0.0¢-$106
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?PoliticsYesResolved$6173.5¢0.0¢-$617
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?PoliticsNoResolved$643.9¢0.0¢-$64
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Premier LeagueYesResolved$1821¢0.0¢-$18
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1062.0¢0.0¢-$106
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?PoliticsYesResolved$2076.6¢0.0¢-$207
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1062.0¢0.0¢-$106
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$3610.1¢0.0¢-$361
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?TechNoResolved$1222¢0.0¢-$12
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?PoliticsYesResolved$634.6¢0.0¢-$63
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2050.1¢0.0¢-$205
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$47418¢0.0¢-$474
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1062.0¢0.0¢-$106
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$274.0¢0.0¢-$27
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?PoliticsYesResolved$1010.8¢0.0¢-$101
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1062.0¢0.0¢-$106
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1062.0¢0.0¢-$106
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1062.0¢0.0¢-$106
Iran closes its airspace by June 22?PoliticsNoResolved$462.2¢0.0¢-$46
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$194.7¢0.0¢-$19
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1062.0¢0.0¢-$106
Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1062.0¢0.0¢-$106
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1062.0¢0.0¢-$106
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$20747¢0.0¢-$207
Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1062.0¢0.0¢-$106
Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1062.0¢0.0¢-$106
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?PoliticsYesResolved$31447¢0.0¢-$314
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1062.0¢0.0¢-$106
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1062.0¢0.0¢-$106
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$1062.0¢0.0¢-$106

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$948K
Champions League-$85K
Tech+$11K
Crypto+$10K
Culture+$7.0K
NFL-$2.2K
Economy-$621
Mentions+$359
Premier League+$246
Finance+$212
Other sports+$78
Boxing+$64
Biggest hit
+$602K
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
Toughest beat
-$39K
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Recent moves

  • SPLIT Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$79K4d ago
  • Sold Yes · Iran leadership change by December 31?$254d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$65d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$135d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1425d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$215d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$3356d ago
  • Sold No · China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.1K7d ago
  • Bought No · China x Japan military clash before 2027?$9107d ago
  • Bought No · China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1847d ago
  • Sold Yes · Iran leadership change by December 31?$2497d ago
  • Sold Yes · Iran leadership change by December 31?$217d ago