 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 30¢ | 14¢ | -$8 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 5.5¢ | 4.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?Tech | Yes | $7 | 7.0¢ | 3.1¢ | -$4 |
 Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $3 | 10¢ | 4.5¢ | -$1 |
 Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $8 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $50 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Claude 4.8 released by May 31?Tech | NoResolved | $16 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1480 and 1490?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?Tech | NoResolved | $3 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 James Comey arrested by April 29?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Trump attend his son's wedding?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 15?Politics | NoResolved | $43 | 6.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
 Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Sold Yes · Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?$131mo ago