0x152e…9963

Predicting since Oct 2022113 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$114	47¢	53¢	+$12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$94	77¢	94¢	+$21
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech	Yes	$84	66¢	73¢	+$8
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics	No	$56	52¢	86¢	+$35
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics	No	$63	67¢	89¢	+$20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$61	0.7¢	0.8¢	+$2
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics	No	$57	81¢	87¢	+$4
AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech	No	$52	80¢	88¢	+$5
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics	No	$49	82¢	94¢	+$7
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics	Yes	$56	56¢	56¢	-$1
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics	No	$48	69¢	70¢	+$1
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics	No	$25	49¢	88¢	+$19
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics	No	$28	69¢	89¢	+$8
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$30	77¢	75¢	-$1
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech	Yes	$21	70¢	89¢	+$6
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Politics	No	$20	80¢	96¢	+$4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$22	73¢	78¢	+$1
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Tech	Yes	$11	60¢	87¢	+$5
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics	No	$10	49¢	67¢	+$4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$10	2.0¢	1.5¢	-$3
Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Tech	Yes	$3	30¢	46¢	+$2
Will Microsoft AI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?Tech	Yes	$2	5.9¢	5.1¢	-$0
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? Politics	Yes	$6	20¢	5.5¢	-$5
Will SpaceXAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Tech	Yes	$2	20¢	12¢	-$1
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?Finance	UpResolved	$20	53¢	0.0¢	-$20
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Tech	YesResolved	$21	42¢	0.0¢	-$21
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics	NoResolved	$10	62¢	0.0¢	-$10
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 19?Finance	DownResolved	$30	29¢	0.0¢	-$30
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?Politics	NoResolved	$13	67¢	0.0¢	-$13
Trump approval Up or Down this week?Politics	DownResolved	$7	45¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?Politics	NoResolved	$34	69¢	0.0¢	-$34
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Politics	NoResolved	$45	90¢	0.0¢	-$45
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$3	36¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Politics	NoResolved	$7	70¢	0.0¢	-$7
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$3	4.9¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$1	0.6¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?Politics	NoResolved	$58	64¢	0.0¢	-$58

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$252

Tech+$186

Economy-$5

Finance-$5

Champions League+$2

Weather-$1

Biggest hit

+$159

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Toughest beat

-$79

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Recent moves

Sold Yes · Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?$1429m ago
Bought Yes · US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?$5645m ago
Sold No · UK Recession in 2026?$415h ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?$2115h ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?$4820h ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?$4820h ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?$141d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$2561d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?$211d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$81d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$01d ago
Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$01d ago