 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | No | $104 | 80¢ | 88¢ | +$10 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $94 | 77¢ | 88¢ | +$13 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $56 | 52¢ | 68¢ | +$16 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $63 | 67¢ | 70¢ | +$3 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $58 | 58¢ | 65¢ | +$6 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $60 | 86¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech | No | $52 | 80¢ | 84¢ | +$2 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $49 | 81¢ | 88¢ | +$4 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $41 | 31¢ | 31¢ | -$1 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | Yes | $41 | 62¢ | 56¢ | -$4 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $25 | 49¢ | 69¢ | +$10 |
 UK Recession in 2026?Economy | No | $30 | 69¢ | 74¢ | +$2 |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $28 | 69¢ | 75¢ | +$2 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $41 | 82¢ | 59¢ | -$12 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $39 | 37¢ | 27¢ | -$11 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $28 | 56¢ | 56¢ | +$0 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $25 | 83¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
 Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Politics | No | $20 | 80¢ | 89¢ | +$2 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $17 | 86¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech | No | $17 | 56¢ | 57¢ | +$0 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $26 | 58¢ | 34¢ | -$10 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | No | $10 | 52¢ | 66¢ | +$3 |
 SpaceX Closing Price Up/Down End of July?Tech | Down | $6 | 40¢ | 80¢ | +$6 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $7 | 29¢ | 43¢ | +$3 |
 SPLC found guilty in 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 33¢ | 51¢ | +$4 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?Politics | No | $9 | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 22¢ | 28¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics | Yes | $10 | 40¢ | 31¢ | -$2 |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? Politics | Yes | $6 | 20¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?Finance | UpResolved | $20 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Tech | YesResolved | $21 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
 Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 19?Finance | DownResolved | $30 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?Politics | NoResolved | $13 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Politics | DownResolved | $7 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $34 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
| Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $45 | 90¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $58 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$58 |
Sold No · Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?$013d ago