← Whale Watch

flow-trader-at-optiver

Predicting since Nov 20256,720 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $7.8K on Tech markets since Nov 2025.

Right now: $2.7K riding on Nets vs. 76ers.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$26189¢98¢+$28
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?PoliticsNo$27596¢91¢-$15
Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?PoliticsNo$22487¢84¢-$8
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?PoliticsNo$19982¢86¢+$10
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$15172¢87¢+$32
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?PoliticsYes$16230¢34¢+$20
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$18387¢83¢-$9
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?PoliticsYes$16230¢30¢-$2
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?PoliticsNo$13385¢100¢+$24
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$72.6¢56¢+$143
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$13858¢57¢-$1
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$420.8¢2.4¢+$89
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$12589¢89¢+$0
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$10997¢100¢+$3
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$7338¢49¢+$20
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureYes$1303.6¢2.5¢-$39
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$11.2¢82¢+$82
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?TechNo$4353¢92¢+$32
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$8248¢43¢-$9
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes-$19-0.1¢0.4¢+$83
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?TechNo$2537¢96¢+$39
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?PoliticsYes$16230¢12¢-$99
Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026?PoliticsNo$7850¢34¢-$24
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$4790¢91¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-11 House seat?PoliticsNo$3263¢90¢+$13
Will the Republican Party win the CA-45 House seat?PoliticsNo$4283¢86¢+$2
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsNo$3572¢87¢+$7
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsNo$2035¢74¢+$22
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$10.7¢36¢+$40
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to less than 2 years in prison?CultureNo$4088¢84¢-$2
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$2730¢42¢+$10
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?PoliticsNo$3672¢72¢+$0
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes-$19-0.1¢0.3¢+$54
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$23719¢2.6¢-$205
Will Warren Buffett be 2nd richest person on December 31?TechYes$00.1¢23¢+$31
Will Steve Ballmer be 2nd richest person on December 31?TechYes$00.1¢23¢+$31
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$483.1¢1.8¢-$21
Will Mark Zuckerberg be 2nd richest person on December 31?TechYes$00.1¢19¢+$25
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$420.8¢0.4¢-$17
Will Vladimir Prebilič be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?PoliticsNoResolved$2289¢100¢+$3
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$2053¢67¢+$5
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes-$19-0.1¢0.1¢+$40
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?EconomyYes$34.3¢33¢+$17
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Republican Party?PoliticsNoResolved$1367¢100¢+$6
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$420.8¢0.4¢-$23
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?PoliticsNo$2066¢64¢-$1
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?OtherYes$629¢92¢+$13
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$120.8¢1.2¢+$7
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$33.0¢16¢+$13
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$1488¢97¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?PoliticsNo$957¢92¢+$5
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$420.8¢0.3¢-$28
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$420.8¢0.3¢-$28
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?WeatherYes$316¢69¢+$11
Will Larry Ellison be 2nd richest person on December 31?TechYes$00.1¢9.6¢+$13
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 20% and 24.9%?PoliticsNo$538¢97¢+$7
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$20.1¢0.4¢+$10
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?PoliticsNo$2976¢30¢-$18
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-02 House seat?PoliticsNo$74.0¢6.5¢+$4
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?PoliticsNo$326¢99¢+$8
Will the Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?PoliticsNoResolved$10100¢100¢+$0
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$661¢98¢+$4
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$04.1¢97¢+$9
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$11.2¢9.5¢+$8
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes-$1-0.1¢1.5¢+$10
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027PoliticsYes$11.5¢24¢+$8
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$420.8¢0.1¢-$34
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$420.8¢0.1¢-$34
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$420.8¢0.1¢-$34
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$420.8¢0.1¢-$34
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-04 House seat?PoliticsNo$1520¢10¢-$8
Will Elon Musk be 2nd richest person on December 31?TechYes$00.1¢5.5¢+$7
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes-$19-0.1¢0.1¢+$26
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes-$19-0.1¢0.1¢+$26
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes-$19-0.1¢0.1¢+$26
Will the Republican Party win the FL-11 House seat?PoliticsNo$1745¢18¢-$10
Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?PoliticsNo$519¢26¢+$2
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPoliticsNoResolved$596¢100¢+$0
Will Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNoResolved$06.0¢100¢+$4
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$332¢42¢+$1
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$30.1¢0.1¢+$1
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$30.1¢0.1¢+$1
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$30.1¢0.1¢+$1
Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?PoliticsNo$417¢19¢+$0
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?PoliticsNo$373¢84¢+$0
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$30.8¢1.1¢+$1
Will Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31?TechYes$00.1¢2.6¢+$3
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?TechNo$380¢99¢+$1
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?PoliticsYes-$2-11.0¢14¢+$5
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePoliticsYes$2515¢1.7¢-$23
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?PoliticsNo$315¢13¢-$0
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?PoliticsYesResolved$09.0¢100¢+$2
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNoResolved$010.0¢100¢+$2
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-05 House seat?PoliticsNo$527¢11¢-$3
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureYes$11.3¢2.8¢+$1
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?PoliticsNoResolved$139¢100¢+$1
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$30.1¢0.1¢-$2
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$30.1¢0.1¢-$2
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureYes$10.4¢0.4¢-$0
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$11.2¢1.1¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Tech-$7.8K
NBA-$4.4K
Culture-$3.8K
Politics-$2.0K
Other sports-$393
Hockey (other)-$119
Economy-$70
Weather-$53
Other+$39
Finance-$12
Boxing-$10
NFL-$3
Biggest hit
+$841
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Toughest beat
-$1.0K
Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$956d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$11715d ago