 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | No | $78 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Politics | Yes | $59 | 72¢ | 99¢ | +$23 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $80 | 60¢ | 55¢ | -$7 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $60 | 71¢ | 80¢ | +$7 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $67 | 93¢ | 92¢ | -$1 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $38 | 75¢ | 82¢ | +$4 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | No | $80 | 84¢ | 43¢ | -$40 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $30 | 66¢ | 69¢ | +$2 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | No | $19 | 56¢ | 93¢ | +$12 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics | No | $22 | 69¢ | 94¢ | +$8 |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $30 | 72¢ | 71¢ | -$1 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Politics | No | $25 | 83¢ | 96¢ | +$4 |
 Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Politics | No | $26 | 84¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Politics | No | $24 | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $22 | 63¢ | 74¢ | +$4 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $20 | 56¢ | 68¢ | +$4 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $19 | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | Yes | $25 | 44¢ | 31¢ | -$7 |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 27¢ | 30¢ | +$1 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $13 | 28¢ | 33¢ | +$2 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics | Yes | $8 | 37¢ | 63¢ | +$6 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 22¢ | 24¢ | +$1 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 39¢ | 27¢ | -$6 |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 21¢ | 26¢ | +$2 |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 36¢ | 26¢ | -$4 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?Politics | No | $9 | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 13¢ | 8.5¢ | -$4 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | Yes | $5 | 40¢ | 58¢ | +$2 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 73¢ | 71¢ | -$0 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 25¢ | 53¢ | +$3 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Politics | Yes | $18 | 40¢ | 13¢ | -$12 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 74¢ | 76¢ | +$0 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 14¢ | 13¢ | -$1 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $4 | 24¢ | 31¢ | +$1 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | Yes | $19 | 30¢ | 7.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 25¢ | 25¢ | -$0 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 74¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?Politics | No | $4 | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 74¢ | 77¢ | +$0 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 27?Politics | No | $3 | 82¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 18¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 28¢ | 46¢ | +$1 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 49¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Politics | No | $2 | 61¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
 Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 20¢ | 21¢ | +$0 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 33¢ | 64¢ | +$1 |
 Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Politics | Yes | $8 | 21¢ | 4.3¢ | -$6 |
 Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?Politics | No | $1 | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 22¢ | 17¢ | -$0 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 24¢ | 9.5¢ | -$2 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 6.7¢ | 5.0¢ | -$0 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 48¢ | 37¢ | -$0 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics | Yes | $4 | 23¢ | 6.5¢ | -$3 |