← Whale Watch

goldisoverrated

Predicting since Feb 20262,976 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $14K on World Cup markets since Feb 2026.

Right now: $6.9K riding on England vs. Argentina - More Markets.

Biggest hit: +$3.7K on Will England win on 2026-07-01?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?NBANo$15498¢100¢+$3
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?NBANo$10698¢100¢+$3
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?NBANo$4666¢100¢+$23
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?NBANo$3459¢100¢+$23
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBANo$4089¢100¢+$5
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?NBANo$2699¢100¢+$0
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBANo$2496¢99¢+$1
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$1213¢24¢+$9
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?NBANo$2098¢100¢+$0
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?NBANo$1899¢100¢+$0
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$846¢100¢+$9
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?TechYes$212¢96¢+$14
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?NBANo$1699¢100¢+$0
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsNo$611¢24¢+$7
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$1290¢96¢+$1
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBANo$1290¢92¢+$0
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBANo$1294¢96¢+$0
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBANo$1299¢100¢+$0
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBANo$1296¢97¢+$0
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBANo$1298¢98¢+$0
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBANo$1299¢99¢+$0
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBANo$1299¢99¢+$0
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBANo$1299¢99¢+$0
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBANo$1298¢98¢+$0
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBANo$1299¢99¢+$0
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBANo$1299¢99¢-$0
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBANo$1297¢97¢-$0
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBANo$1297¢97¢-$0
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBANo$1280¢79¢-$0
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBANo$1284¢81¢-$1
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBANo$1296¢87¢-$1
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsNo$1096¢100¢+$0
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsNo$1097¢99¢+$0
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBANo$1094¢96¢+$0
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsNo$1098¢100¢+$0
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$1099¢100¢+$0
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$1099¢100¢+$0
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBANo$1097¢96¢-$0
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBANo$1097¢96¢-$0
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$899¢100¢+$0
Will Nito Abreu win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?PoliticsNo$675¢100¢+$2
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$899¢99¢-$0
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsNo$664¢74¢+$1
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsNo$683¢86¢+$0
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsNo$695¢97¢+$0
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsNo$694¢95¢+$0
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?TechNo$689¢91¢+$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$672¢73¢+$0
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?NBANo$233¢100¢+$4
Will Jasmine Paolini win the 2026 Women’s US Open?TennisNo$699¢99¢+$0
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsNo$673¢68¢-$0
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsNo$685¢77¢-$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$598¢98¢-$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$490¢100¢+$0
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$495¢100¢+$0
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?La LigaNo$456¢59¢+$0
Will LeBron's next contract average over $50M per year?NBANo$498¢100¢+$0
Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?NBANo$499¢100¢+$0
Will Paul Seixas win the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsNo$499¢100¢+$0
Will Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsNo$499¢100¢+$0
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBANo$499¢99¢+$0
Will the New York Rangers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?NHLNo$497¢97¢+$0
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?EconomyNo$4100¢99¢-$0
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?PoliticsNo$493¢92¢-$0
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?Premier LeagueNo$498¢94¢-$0
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsNo$64.6¢2.8¢-$2
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?EconomyNo$235¢62¢+$2
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$489¢76¢-$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$235¢60¢+$1
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?PoliticsNo$420¢17¢-$1
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$5812¢0.7¢-$55
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?TechNo$266¢94¢+$1
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsYes$215¢21¢+$1
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$266¢86¢+$1
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$257¢68¢+$0
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?NBANo$284¢98¢+$0
Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?PoliticsNo$236¢42¢+$0
Will LeBron's next contract average $10M-$15M per year?NBANo$287¢100¢+$0
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?PoliticsNo$285¢98¢+$0
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?EconomyNo$273¢84¢+$0
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?Premier LeagueNo$220¢23¢+$0
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1No$212¢14¢+$0
Will Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?PoliticsNo$291¢99¢+$0
Will Oakland Athletics win the 2026 AL West title?MLBNo$293¢100¢+$0
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?PoliticsNo$278¢84¢+$0
Will Republicans win 0 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?PoliticsNo$289¢94¢+$0
Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?PoliticsNo$289¢94¢+$0
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$282¢86¢+$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$291¢94¢+$0
Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?PoliticsNo$295¢98¢+$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?PoliticsNo$286¢89¢+$0
Will the Dallas Stars be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?NHLNo$292¢95¢+$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$287¢89¢+$0
Will the Carolina Hurricanes be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?NHLNo$288¢90¢+$0
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?EconomyNo$218¢18¢+$0
Will the San Jose Sharks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?NHLNo$297¢98¢+$0
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$298¢99¢+$0
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1No$299¢100¢+$0
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$297¢98¢+$0
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$298¢98¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

World Cup-$14K
Weather-$457
eSports-$448
Tennis-$261
NBA-$214
Crypto-$102
Tech-$90
Politics-$66
Culture-$25
MLB+$13
Economy+$13
Other sports-$13
Biggest hit
+$3.7K
Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Toughest beat
-$2.0K
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?$22d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?$32d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?$42d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Jonas Vingegaard win the 2026 Tour De France?$24d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$295d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Keir Starmer be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?$25d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$45d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?$25d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.8K6d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$66d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$96d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Pedri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$26d ago