 Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?Politics | No | $4 | 81¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $5 | 91¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
 Will Sarah Pidgeon – “Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. and Carolyn Bessette” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?Culture | Yes | $1 | 9.1¢ | 38¢ | +$3 |
 Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,220,000 and $1,242,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $3 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 83¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 71¢ | 73¢ | +$0 |
 Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?Politics | No | $1 | 32¢ | 67¢ | +$2 |
 Will Strava’s market cap be between $7B and $10B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $1 | 9.8¢ | 27¢ | +$2 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $3 | 73¢ | 73¢ | +$0 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | No | $3 | 39¢ | 35¢ | -$0 |
 Will Antonio Zanardi Landi be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 75¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the AK-AL House seat?Politics | No | $2 | 85¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will Ro Khanna be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?Politics | No | $2 | 89¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Other | No | $2 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.8¢ | 6.4¢ | +$1 |
 Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10% or more?Politics | No | $2 | 89¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10-15%?Politics | No | $2 | 77¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 83¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
| Will the median home value in NYC be less than $555,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $2 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?Economy | No | $1 | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 68¢ | 81¢ | +$0 |
 Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $2 | 69¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Tech | Yes | $2 | 30¢ | 29¢ | -$0 |
 Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $2 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?Economy | No | $2 | 87¢ | 71¢ | -$0 |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $536,000 and $542,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $2 | 93¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
 Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?Politics | No | $1 | 23¢ | 32¢ | +$1 |
| Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?Politics | No | $2 | 75¢ | 72¢ | -$0 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 92¢ | 64¢ | -$1 |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $1 | 31¢ | 50¢ | +$1 |
| Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?Culture | No | $3 | 58¢ | 35¢ | -$1 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 83¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 Will Andy Warhol be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Culture | No | $1 | 78¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 42¢ | 76¢ | +$1 |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $330,000 and $335,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $2 | 98¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
 Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | No | $2 | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
 Iran leadership change by November 30?Politics | No | $2 | 91¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
 Will a hurricane make landfall in Massachusetts by November 30, 2026?Weather | No | $2 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?Politics | No | $2 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in Rhode Island by November 30, 2026?Weather | No | $2 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will three people dissent the January Fed decision?Economy | No | $2 | 73¢ | 72¢ | -$0 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 80¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 35¢ | 47¢ | +$0 |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $524,000 and $530,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $2 | 90¢ | 73¢ | -$0 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $2 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in New Jersey by November 30, 2026?Weather | No | $2 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $2 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $2 | 35¢ | 34¢ | -$0 |
 Will Jio Platforms be the largest Indian company?;Economy | No | $1 | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
| Will Strava’s market cap be between $4B and $5B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $1 | 5.0¢ | 10¢ | +$1 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | No | $1 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $2 | 73¢ | 46¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $1 | 63¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
| Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?Culture | Yes | $1 | 55¢ | 81¢ | +$0 |
| Will BARMM Grand Coalition (BGC) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?Politics | No | $1 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Will Dune: Messiah have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | No | $1 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Politics | No | $1 | 68¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Will Robert Alferink win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?Politics | No | $1 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $1 | 70¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?Culture | Yes | $1 | 36¢ | 43¢ | +$0 |
 Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | No | $1 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2 | 59¢ | 35¢ | -$1 |
 Will the National Party win fewer than 25 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | No | $1 | 69¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?Politics | No | $1 | 34¢ | 33¢ | -$0 |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be at least $542,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $1 | 72¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $1 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 56¢ | 72¢ | +$0 |
 Will Marine Le Pen be the next President of the National Rally in 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 78¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be at least $1,284,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $1 | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 5-10%?Politics | No | $1 | 71¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 72¢ | 61¢ | -$0 |
| Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.5 and 3.9% in 2026?Economy | No | $1 | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Economy | No | $1 | 81¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $1 | 83¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $454,000 and $462,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $1 | 84¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat?Politics | Yes | $1 | 72¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $530,000 and $536,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $1 | 74¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
| Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | No | $1 | 75¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 Will Barrett Pfeiffer win Big Brother season 28?Culture | No | $1 | 81¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $1 | 86¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Will Michigan have the closest Governor's race in 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 86¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Tech | Yes | $1 | 40¢ | 36¢ | -$0 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by December 31?Tech | No | $1 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $1 | 51¢ | 53¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $1 | 83¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will Ashley Trail win Big Brother season 28?Culture | No | $1 | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $462,000 and $470,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $1 | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $1 | 89¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will Hertz Dias win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Politics | No | $1 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,242,000 and $1,264,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $1 | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Edmilson Costa win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?Politics | No | $1 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will OpenAI raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO?Tech | No | $1 | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?Politics | No | $1 | 61¢ | 68¢ | +$0 |
 Will Zema win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?Politics | No | $1 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will Escritor Augusto Cury win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?Politics | No | $1 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?Politics | No | $1 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $1 | 90¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?Economy | No | $1 | 74¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Sold No · Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?$11d ago
Sold No · Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?$11d ago
Cashed out No · Will Corey Lewandowski win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Republican primary election?$12d ago