← Whale Watch

nofreelunch

Predicting since Feb 2025471 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$20091¢96¢+$10
Xi Jinping out before 2027?PoliticsNo$12090¢95¢+$8
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$10037¢43¢+$15
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherNo$10092¢97¢+$5
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$9025¢27¢+$9
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsYes$18013¢6.5¢-$91
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?PoliticsYes$1117¢98¢+$54
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2562¢88¢+$10
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?PoliticsYes$3065¢51¢-$7
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2083¢96¢+$3
Will US annex any territory in 2026?PoliticsNo$2084¢96¢+$3
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?PoliticsNo$2082¢86¢+$1
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$2092¢95¢+$1
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?EconomyNo$2091¢93¢+$0
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$1575¢93¢+$4
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?Other sportsNo$1043¢80¢+$8
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$1023¢43¢+$8
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$1069¢92¢+$3
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026PoliticsYes$1060¢74¢+$2
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$2055¢34¢-$8
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?CultureNoResolved$1085¢100¢+$2
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$1090¢96¢+$1
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? CultureNo$1089¢95¢+$1
GTA 6 launch postponed again?TechYes$3029¢10¢-$20
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1091¢94¢+$0
Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1092¢94¢+$0
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1093¢94¢+$0
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1090¢89¢-$0
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?PoliticsYes$1023¢22¢-$1
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1079¢73¢-$1
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$372.7¢0.5¢-$30
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePoliticsYes$1018¢14¢-$3
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1026¢20¢-$3
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$1020¢14¢-$3
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$100.8¢0.4¢-$4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$501.4¢0.1¢-$45
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsYes$1061¢32¢-$5
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$100.3¢0.1¢-$5
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1046¢22¢-$5
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$102.8¢1.2¢-$6
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$100.6¢0.3¢-$6
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $1B?CryptoYes$1094¢39¢-$6
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$505.6¢0.4¢-$46
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$100.4¢0.1¢-$6
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$100.4¢0.1¢-$6
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$1044¢15¢-$7
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$530¢20¢-$2
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$101.1¢0.4¢-$7
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$100.5¢0.1¢-$7
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?TechOpenAI$2075¢11¢-$17
Will Trump's approval rating hit 50% in 2026?PoliticsYes$516¢6.7¢-$3
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$102.3¢0.4¢-$8
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$106.0¢0.9¢-$8
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?CryptoYesResolved$1561¢0.0¢-$15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$1380.7¢0.0¢-$138
Trump out as President by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1008.0¢0.0¢-$100
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?CultureYesResolved$2043¢0.0¢-$20
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?CultureYesResolved$107.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$1001.7¢0.0¢-$100
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?CryptoYesResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2038¢0.0¢-$20

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$577
Crypto-$217
Culture+$101
Mentions+$95
Tech-$47
NHL-$37
Weather+$25
Other sports+$15
Economy+$13
Other-$10
Soccer (other)-$9
Boxing-$5
Biggest hit
+$166
Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?
Toughest beat
-$260
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?