← Whale Watch

Jianyuen

Predicting since Nov 20241,232 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $4.1K on Crypto markets since Nov 2024.

Right now: $6.4K riding on Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?PoliticsNo$6.4K96¢97¢+$37
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1.6K81¢81¢+$10
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.2K96¢99¢+$44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.2K74¢81¢+$104
Iran leadership change by September 30?PoliticsNo$79288¢89¢+$5
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$41669¢80¢+$61
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsNo$38997¢99¢+$9
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$38195¢93¢-$11
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?PoliticsNo$13668¢89¢+$42
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?CryptoNo$10559¢92¢+$58
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$8643¢69¢+$52
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9696¢99¢+$3
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?CryptoNo$4848¢95¢+$47
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoNo$5959¢82¢+$23
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?PoliticsYes$8585¢78¢-$8
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoYes$3737¢73¢+$36
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?CryptoNo$11256¢36¢-$40
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoNo$6060¢66¢+$6
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4688¢92¢+$2
Discord IPO before 2027?TechYes$9191¢35¢-$55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?FinanceYes$1860¢89¢+$9
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsNo$2082¢94¢+$3
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$2633¢13¢-$16
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?CryptoNo$147¢87¢+$1
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)World CupArgentinaResolved$441¢0.0¢-$4
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$6717¢0.0¢-$67
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$4611¢0.0¢-$46
Will $ANSEM reach $0.4 before 2027?CryptoNoResolved$4040¢0.0¢-$40
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$338.3¢0.0¢-$33
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$81.9¢0.0¢-$8
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$60.8¢0.0¢-$6
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$379.3¢0.0¢-$37
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$163.9¢0.0¢-$16
Lionel Messi: 1+ shotsWorld CupYesResolved$19192¢0.0¢-$191
Will England win on 2026-07-15?World CupYesResolved$35836¢0.0¢-$358
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?TechNoResolved$267¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?World CupNoResolved$8040¢0.0¢-$80
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)World CupArgentinaResolved$4747¢0.0¢-$47
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$215.3¢0.0¢-$21
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupYesResolved$3449¢0.0¢-$34
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$11055¢0.0¢-$110

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto+$4.1K
Tech+$1.6K
World Cup-$948
Culture+$829
College Hoops-$676
Other+$382
eSports+$370
Premier League-$297
Tennis+$197
Soccer (other)-$181
Cricket-$160
La Liga-$158
Biggest hit
+$542
Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?
Toughest beat
-$1.1K
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$88820h ago
  • Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$29620h ago
  • Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$38920h ago
  • Bought No · Iran leadership change by December 31?$15221h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$15021h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$55621h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2221h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2121h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?$1821h ago
  • Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$201d ago
  • Cashed out No · Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 24, 2026?$2001d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$3001d ago