rmpkid

Predicting since Jul 202661 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	No	$162	81¢	84¢	+$5
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Politics	Yes	$142	57¢	59¢	+$4
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$108	90¢	91¢	+$1
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics	No	$92	92¢	98¢	+$5
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Politics	No	$96	87¢	89¢	+$1
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$84	84¢	88¢	+$4
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics	Yes	$80	80¢	81¢	+$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$57	46¢	63¢	+$21
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Politics	No	$59	85¢	96¢	+$7
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Politics	No	$43	71¢	87¢	+$9
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$46	35¢	36¢	+$1
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics	No	$37	62¢	73¢	+$6
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather	Yes	$33	66¢	65¢	-$1
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance	Yes	$24	47¢	56¢	+$5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics	No	$28	57¢	56¢	-$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics	Yes	$29	14¢	13¢	-$4
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?Politics	Yes	$30	38¢	28¢	-$7
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics	Yes	$18	35¢	34¢	-$0
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?Politics	Yes	$12	7.4¢	7.3¢	-$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Politics	Yes	$27	4.8¢	0.8¢	-$23
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBA	YesResolved	$3	53¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Politics	NoResolved	$80	80¢	0.0¢	-$80

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$101

World Cup+$34

Economy+$21

Culture+$5

Finance+$5

NBA-$3

Weather-$1

Biggest hit

+$49

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Toughest beat

-$76

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?

Recent moves

Bought No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$185h ago
Bought No · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$115h ago
Bought Yes · Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?$315h ago
Bought Yes · Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?$25h ago
Bought Yes · UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?$185h ago
Bought Yes · Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?$245h ago
Sold No · Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?$995h ago
Sold No · Fed rate hike in 2026?$445h ago
Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?$167h ago
Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?$177h ago
Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?$148h ago
Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?$210h ago