| Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?Politics | Yes | $142 | 66¢ | 65¢ | -$3 |
| Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in August 2026?Politics | Yes | $71 | 33¢ | 35¢ | +$3 |
| Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?Tech | Yes | $67 | 79¢ | 78¢ | -$2 |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $34 | 52¢ | 74¢ | +$14 |
 Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 20 and 23 inclusive?Politics | Yes | $36 | 33¢ | 42¢ | +$10 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Culture | Yes | $52 | 61¢ | 53¢ | -$7 |
| Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?Politics | Yes | $31 | 35¢ | 45¢ | +$9 |
| Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?Politics | Yes | $41 | 37¢ | 35¢ | -$2 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Culture | Yes | $30 | 36¢ | 43¢ | +$6 |
| Will the season series between the Bills and Patriots end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $44 | 40¢ | 32¢ | -$9 |
| Will the Bills win the season series against the Patriots during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $35 | 32¢ | 32¢ | -$1 |
| Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?Tech | Yes | $31 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
| Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August?Tech | Yes | $26 | 44¢ | 51¢ | +$4 |
 Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?Politics | Yes | $24 | 81¢ | 82¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Bengals win the season series against the Browns during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $25 | 46¢ | 45¢ | -$1 |
| Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?Politics | Yes | $22 | 25¢ | 27¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Patriots win the season series against the Bills during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $23 | 21¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
| Will Claude go down 11-13 times in August?Tech | Yes | $11 | 19¢ | 37¢ | +$11 |
| Will the season series between the Bengals and Browns end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $20 | 36¢ | 34¢ | -$1 |
| Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k?Culture | Yes | $19 | 53¢ | 53¢ | -$0 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $18 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
| Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?Politics | Yes | $18 | 20¢ | 20¢ | -$0 |
| Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Politics | Yes | $10 | 33¢ | 53¢ | +$6 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $27 | 42¢ | 24¢ | -$12 |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $14 | 56¢ | 57¢ | +$0 |
 Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-08-23?Soccer (other) | Yes | $14 | 91¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 64¢ | 66¢ | +$0 |
| Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 28 and 31 inclusive?Politics | Yes | $15 | 14¢ | 12¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?Economy | Yes | $12 | 60¢ | 64¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $13 | 65¢ | 62¢ | -$1 |
| Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $11 | 54¢ | 60¢ | +$1 |
| Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?Tech | Yes | $8 | 9.5¢ | 13¢ | +$3 |
| Will James Fishback win 10–15% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Politics | Yes | $12 | 39¢ | 34¢ | -$2 |
| Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of 2026?Tech | Yes | $8 | 24¢ | 28¢ | +$1 |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?Economy | Yes | $9 | 47¢ | 48¢ | +$0 |
| Will the 49ers win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $9 | 60¢ | 60¢ | +$0 |
 Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?Politics | Yes | $9 | 85¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Chiefs win the season series against the Raiders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $9 | 58¢ | 57¢ | -$0 |
| Will the season series between the Lions and Packers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $8 | 38¢ | 42¢ | +$1 |
| Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be fewer than 20?Politics | Yes | $5 | 4.2¢ | 7.6¢ | +$4 |
| Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?Tech | Yes | $8 | 23¢ | 24¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Lions win the season series against the Packers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $6 | 32¢ | 38¢ | +$1 |
| Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 32 and 35 inclusive?Politics | Yes | $6 | 5.6¢ | 6.7¢ | +$1 |
| Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 30k and 40k?Culture | Yes | $6 | 16¢ | 21¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?Politics | Yes | $8 | 76¢ | 73¢ | -$0 |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $7 | 34¢ | 35¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?Economy | Yes | $7 | 35¢ | 35¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $7 | 70¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
 Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?Economy | Yes | $4 | 44¢ | 68¢ | +$2 |
| Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $5 | 27¢ | 34¢ | +$1 |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $609,000 and $636,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $7 | 30¢ | 26¢ | -$1 |
| Will qwen3.8-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 1.7¢ | 7.4¢ | +$5 |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 19¢ | 32¢ | +$3 |
| Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 14¢ | 18¢ | +$1 |
| Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?Politics | Yes | $1 | 9.9¢ | 38¢ | +$4 |
| Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 28¢ | 28¢ | -$0 |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $5 | 27¢ | 28¢ | +$0 |
| Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.50T at the end of 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 12¢ | 16¢ | +$1 |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.7%?Economy | Yes | $5 | 23¢ | 24¢ | +$0 |
| Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?Politics | Yes | $8 | 50¢ | 31¢ | -$3 |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $4 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
| Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 40k and 50k?Culture | Yes | $5 | 14¢ | 13¢ | -$0 |
| Will there be between 35 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?Politics | Yes | $11 | 12¢ | 5.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will 220 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?Politics | Yes | $2 | 16¢ | 30¢ | +$2 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 0.8¢ | 5.0¢ | +$4 |
| Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?Politics | Yes | $4 | 78¢ | 77¢ | -$0 |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,137,000 and $1,153,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $4 | 37¢ | 38¢ | +$0 |
| Will the season series between the Cardinals and 49ers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $4 | 25¢ | 25¢ | -$0 |
 Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 34¢ | 37¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $4 | 73¢ | 73¢ | +$0 |
 Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $3 | 67¢ | 71¢ | +$0 |
 Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 59¢ | 70¢ | +$1 |
| Will Claude go down 14+ times in August?Tech | Yes | $1 | 1.8¢ | 5.8¢ | +$2 |
| Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?Politics | Yes | $3 | 26¢ | 33¢ | +$1 |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $330,000 and $335,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $2 | 9.0¢ | 16¢ | +$1 |
| Will Republicans win 3 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?Politics | Yes | $3 | 34¢ | 32¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 37¢ | 31¢ | -$1 |
| Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be 70k or more?Culture | Yes | $3 | 8.2¢ | 8.8¢ | +$0 |
| No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $3 | 62¢ | 61¢ | -$0 |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $3 | 13¢ | 15¢ | +$0 |
| Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?Politics | Yes | $3 | 30¢ | 30¢ | -$0 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1 | 1.2¢ | 4.5¢ | +$2 |
| Will the National Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 28¢ | 28¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 24¢ | 28¢ | +$0 |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,137,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $2 | 25¢ | 28¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 23¢ | 28¢ | +$0 |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $3 | 52¢ | 55¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?Politics | Yes | $2 | 21¢ | 27¢ | +$1 |
| Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 6.0¢ | 7.4¢ | +$0 |
| Will the season series between the Chiefs and Raiders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $2 | 16¢ | 26¢ | +$1 |
| Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 26¢ | 26¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Browns win the season series against the Bengals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $6 | 11¢ | 4.5¢ | -$4 |
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?Economy | Yes | $3 | 29¢ | 25¢ | -$0 |
| Will James Fishback win 15–20% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Politics | Yes | $4 | 14¢ | 8.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $663,000 and $689,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $1 | 2.9¢ | 8.9¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 21¢ | 22¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Raiders win the season series against the Chiefs during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $2 | 15¢ | 14¢ | -$0 |
| Will there be 40 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?Politics | Yes | $6 | 7.0¢ | 2.4¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Packers win the season series against the Lions during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $4 | 22¢ | 11¢ | -$2 |
| Will Amazon’s market capitalization be at least $4.50T at the end of 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 6.0¢ | 6.0¢ | +$0 |
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