Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 18¢ | 100¢ | +$9 |
Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 9.5¢ | 57¢ | +$5 |
US strike on Mexico by December 31?Politics | Yes | $6 | 24¢ | 12¢ | -$3 |
Will Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan be arrested in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 12¢ | 34¢ | +$2 |
Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 20¢ | 50¢ | +$2 |
Will Juan Pablo Ledezma be arrested in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 21¢ | 49¢ | +$1 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $1 | 4.5¢ | 8.6¢ | +$1 |
Will Ricardo Ruiz Velasco be arrested in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 33¢ | 50¢ | +$1 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $1 | 49¢ | 69¢ | +$0 |
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Politics | No | $2 | 13¢ | 8.6¢ | -$1 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $1 | 22¢ | 27¢ | +$0 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 53¢ | 64¢ | +$0 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $1 | 37¢ | 43¢ | +$0 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $1 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on May 19?Weather | NoResolved | $1 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the March meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US strike on Mexico by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 9.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C or below on May 19?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $3 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 18 above $370?Finance | NoResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 8.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 18 above $420?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?World Cup | NoResolved | $1 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Weed rescheduled by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?Golf | NoResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 Search & other revenue be above $65B?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 5.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US strike on Mexico by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31? Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 5.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $31 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |