 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | No | $85 | 73¢ | 94¢ | +$24 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $100 | 77¢ | 82¢ | +$7 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | Yes | $81 | 39¢ | 48¢ | +$19 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Politics | No | $90 | 76¢ | 81¢ | +$6 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $79 | 42¢ | 49¢ | +$13 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $71 | 34¢ | 38¢ | +$7 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $94 | 20¢ | 14¢ | -$26 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | Yes | $30 | 28¢ | 56¢ | +$31 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 35¢ | 96¢ | +$35 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $50 | 75¢ | 74¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 26?Weather | Yes | $14 | 32¢ | 100¢ | +$31 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 27?Politics | No | $30 | 67¢ | 97¢ | +$14 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $30 | 63¢ | 79¢ | +$8 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Politics | Yes | $26 | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$10 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Finance | No | $41 | 66¢ | 56¢ | -$6 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $30 | 66¢ | 64¢ | -$1 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Finance | No | $20 | 70¢ | 93¢ | +$7 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Finance | No | $20 | 67¢ | 81¢ | +$4 |
 Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Culture | No | $10 | 40¢ | 97¢ | +$14 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Finance | Yes | $22 | 39¢ | 44¢ | +$2 |
 Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Culture | Yes | $10 | 40¢ | 97¢ | +$14 |
 Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?Culture | Yes | $10 | 43¢ | 96¢ | +$12 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics | No | $20 | 67¢ | 75¢ | +$2 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $29 | 30¢ | 22¢ | -$8 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Finance | Yes | $55 | 48¢ | 19¢ | -$33 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 74¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 75¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
 Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?Tech | No | $10 | 48¢ | 97¢ | +$10 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | No | $20 | 51¢ | 52¢ | +$0 |
| Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?Politics | Yes | $15 | 74¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
| Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?Politics | Yes | $5 | 24¢ | 98¢ | +$14 |
 Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in July?Weather | Yes | $20 | 44¢ | 41¢ | -$2 |
 Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $15 | 50¢ | 59¢ | +$3 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | Yes | $10 | 21¢ | 37¢ | +$8 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Politics | Yes | $14 | 69¢ | 86¢ | +$3 |
 Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 27?Weather | Yes | $18 | 30¢ | 28¢ | -$2 |
 Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $15 | 77¢ | 81¢ | +$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 27?Weather | No | $17 | 69¢ | 66¢ | -$1 |
| Will PayPal say "Cash Back" or "Cashback" during earnings call?Mentions | No | $15 | 69¢ | 71¢ | +$0 |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | Yes | $10 | 64¢ | 98¢ | +$5 |
 Will "72 Hours" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?Culture | No | $10 | 64¢ | 97¢ | +$5 |
 Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 27?Weather | Yes | $11 | 21¢ | 30¢ | +$5 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $10 | 65¢ | 94¢ | +$5 |
 Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 50¢ | 69¢ | +$4 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | No | $18 | 59¢ | 44¢ | -$5 |
 Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 74¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?Finance | No | $10 | 73¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Politics | Yes | $10 | 46¢ | 60¢ | +$3 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?Politics | No | $10 | 75¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?Finance | No | $10 | 78¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 70¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
 Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 71¢ | 86¢ | +$2 |
 Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?Economy | Yes | $20 | 44¢ | 27¢ | -$8 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $10 | 64¢ | 77¢ | +$2 |
 Will Jerry Carl be the Republican nominee for AL-01?Politics | Yes | $10 | 80¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026?Weather | Yes | $10 | 77¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 3, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 77¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $13 | 21¢ | 17¢ | -$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 27?Weather | No | $9 | 79¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 27?Weather | No | $9 | 77¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 26?Weather | No | $5 | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
 Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 27?Weather | No | $9 | 73¢ | 80¢ | +$1 |
 Will News Corp (NWSA) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $10 | 25¢ | 23¢ | -$1 |
| Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Politics | Yes | $6 | 57¢ | 79¢ | +$2 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $11 | 24¢ | 18¢ | -$3 |
 Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?Politics | No | $8 | 74¢ | 80¢ | +$1 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $23 | 49¢ | 18¢ | -$15 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | No | $10 | 78¢ | 63¢ | -$2 |
 Will Joy Powers be the VA-09 Democratic nominee?Politics | No | $8 | 39¢ | 41¢ | +$0 |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 40¢ | 34¢ | -$1 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $12 | 22¢ | 14¢ | -$4 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | No | $10 | 24¢ | 17¢ | -$3 |
 Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Culture | Yes | $4 | 60¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?Politics | No | $6 | 80¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | Yes | $7 | 65¢ | 65¢ | -$0 |
 Will Ares Management (ARES) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $5 | 44¢ | 55¢ | +$1 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 52¢ | 77¢ | +$2 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 iPhone revenue be above $55B?Finance | Yes | $3 | 30¢ | 54¢ | +$3 |
| Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during Michigan remarks?Mentions | No | $6 | 64¢ | 57¢ | -$1 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Politics | No | $4 | 70¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 25¢ | 14¢ | -$4 |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 27?Weather | No | $5 | 70¢ | 80¢ | +$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28?Weather | No | $5 | 66¢ | 68¢ | +$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 26?Weather | No | $3 | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 28?Weather | No | $5 | 72¢ | 73¢ | +$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 28?Weather | No | $5 | 71¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
 Will TKO Group (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $5 | 43¢ | 43¢ | -$0 |
| Will TKO Group (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $5 | 58¢ | 57¢ | -$0 |
 Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $5 | 56¢ | 56¢ | -$0 |
| Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $5 | 45¢ | 45¢ | -$0 |
 Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?Politics | Yes | $3 | 74¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?Culture | No | $10 | 70¢ | 31¢ | -$6 |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 26?Weather | Yes | $5 | 45¢ | 36¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 27?Weather | Yes | $3 | 26¢ | 32¢ | +$1 |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by July 31?Finance | No | $3 | 56¢ | 55¢ | -$0 |
 Will Humana (HUM) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | No | $3 | 19¢ | 19¢ | -$0 |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in June?Economy | Yes | $3 | 56¢ | 55¢ | -$0 |
 Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 36¢ | 57¢ | +$1 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?Culture | Yes | $14 | 37¢ | 7.5¢ | -$11 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 68¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
Sold Yes · Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 26?$214m ago
Bought No · Will Waystar (WAY) beat quarterly earnings?$136m ago