 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $204 | 47¢ | 39¢ | -$37 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $79 | 42¢ | 89¢ | +$87 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Politics | No | $90 | 76¢ | 88¢ | +$13 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $62 | 54¢ | 62¢ | +$9 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $71 | 34¢ | 32¢ | -$4 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?Tech | No | $40 | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$15 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | Yes | $42 | 51¢ | 66¢ | +$12 |
 Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $20 | 41¢ | 99¢ | +$28 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | No | $87 | 65¢ | 35¢ | -$40 |
 Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $20 | 44¢ | 99¢ | +$25 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Culture | Yes | $20 | 47¢ | 94¢ | +$20 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $40 | 43¢ | 39¢ | -$4 |
 Will Russia target Kyiv on September 6, 2026?Politics | No | $20 | 58¢ | 99¢ | +$14 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $30 | 66¢ | 66¢ | -$0 |
 Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $18 | 45¢ | 73¢ | +$11 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $27 | 79¢ | 82¢ | +$1 |
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | Yes | $40 | 59¢ | 41¢ | -$12 |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 16, 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 64¢ | 86¢ | +$7 |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics | Yes | $20 | 63¢ | 84¢ | +$7 |
 Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 64¢ | 82¢ | +$5 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Politics | No | $40 | 56¢ | 35¢ | -$15 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $328 Week of September 7 2026?Finance | Yes | $20 | 45¢ | 55¢ | +$4 |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?Politics | SD | $20 | 68¢ | 78¢ | +$3 |
 Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $20 | 48¢ | 53¢ | +$2 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $20 | 80¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $55 | 20¢ | 7.5¢ | -$34 |
 Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $20 | 64¢ | 65¢ | +$0 |
 Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Politics | Yes | $20 | 55¢ | 55¢ | +$0 |
 Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.25 Week of September 7 2026?Finance | No | $9 | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$11 |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 11?Weather | Yes | $10 | 49¢ | 96¢ | +$10 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $20 | 79¢ | 79¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 11?Weather | No | $20 | 75¢ | 70¢ | -$1 |
 Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 15?Politics | No | $14 | 71¢ | 92¢ | +$4 |
 Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?Finance | No | $9 | 44¢ | 86¢ | +$9 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Politics | Yes | $14 | 69¢ | 90¢ | +$4 |
 Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 11?Weather | Yes | $13 | 64¢ | 84¢ | +$4 |
 Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $16 | 53¢ | 55¢ | +$0 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?Economy | Yes | $23 | 32¢ | 23¢ | -$6 |
 Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 11?Weather | Yes | $12 | 56¢ | 78¢ | +$4 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of September 7 2026?Finance | No | $11 | 47¢ | 64¢ | +$4 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 11?Weather | No | $14 | 66¢ | 72¢ | +$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 11?Weather | Yes | $13 | 65¢ | 73¢ | +$2 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $21 | 25¢ | 18¢ | -$6 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | No | $20 | 25¢ | 19¢ | -$5 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on September 11?Weather | Yes | $15 | 72¢ | 71¢ | -$0 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $28 | 17¢ | 8.6¢ | -$14 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?Economy | Yes | $15 | 38¢ | 32¢ | -$2 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 75¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 11?Weather | Yes | $9 | 46¢ | 56¢ | +$2 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $9 | 45¢ | 57¢ | +$3 |
| Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 30% and 33% of all valid votes?Politics | Yes | $20 | 20¢ | 11¢ | -$10 |
 Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?Politics | No | $8 | 42¢ | 51¢ | +$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9?Weather | Yes | $6 | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
 Will JD Vance say "Free Speech" or "Freedom of Speech" during RNC Convention?Mentions | Yes | $17 | 30¢ | 17¢ | -$8 |
 Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?Politics | No | $8 | 80¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 52¢ | 82¢ | +$3 |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?Politics | Yes | $12 | 64¢ | 49¢ | -$3 |
| Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" during RNC Convention?Mentions | Yes | $6 | 68¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 11?Weather | Yes | $2 | 25¢ | 98¢ | +$6 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 7 2026?Finance | Yes | $14 | 22¢ | 11¢ | -$7 |
 Will "Beef" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?Culture | Yes | $7 | 43¢ | 45¢ | +$0 |
 Will Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?Politics | No | $4 | 41¢ | 68¢ | +$3 |
 Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on September 10?Weather | Yes | $2 | 31¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Politics | No | $4 | 70¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 11?Weather | No | $7 | 69¢ | 59¢ | -$1 |
| Will Grüne win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $6 | 32¢ | 28¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 10?Weather | No | $3 | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 11?Weather | Yes | $2 | 20¢ | 49¢ | +$3 |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 11?Weather | No | $2 | 50¢ | 86¢ | +$2 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of September 7 2026?Finance | Yes | $20 | 53¢ | 10¢ | -$16 |
| Will CDU win less than 17% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $2 | 24¢ | 37¢ | +$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 11?Weather | No | $4 | 77¢ | 70¢ | -$0 |
 Will Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo win the Vaimauga 3 by-election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 25¢ | 16¢ | -$2 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in August?Economy | No | $3 | 69¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
| Will AfD win between 32% and 35% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $3 | 23¢ | 22¢ | -$0 |
 Will Loki die in Avengers: Doomsday?Culture | No | $6 | 55¢ | 30¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 10?Weather | Yes | $1 | 25¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 11?Weather | Yes | $11 | 51¢ | 14¢ | -$8 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 11?Weather | Yes | $2 | 35¢ | 46¢ | +$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 11?Weather | No | $2 | 50¢ | 50¢ | +$0 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Politics | No | $2 | 79¢ | 81¢ | +$0 |
 Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 30¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 11?Weather | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ | 26¢ | +$2 |
 Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of September 7 2026?Finance | Yes | $20 | 64¢ | 6.2¢ | -$18 |
 Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | No | $2 | 64¢ | 61¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 12?Weather | Yes | $2 | 24¢ | 24¢ | -$0 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on September 11?Weather | Yes | $2 | 50¢ | 40¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?Politics | No | $2 | 72¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
| Will Linke win between 11% and 14% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $3 | 27¢ | 18¢ | -$1 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 22¢ | 6.5¢ | -$4 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 11?Weather | Yes | $2 | 25¢ | 22¢ | -$0 |
 Will "The Fix" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | No | $1 | 55¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Politics | No | $3 | 55¢ | 32¢ | -$1 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 50¢ | 16¢ | -$3 |
| Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?Culture | Yes | $1 | 77¢ | 81¢ | +$0 |
 Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $610 Week of September 7 2026?Finance | Yes | $20 | 79¢ | 5.5¢ | -$19 |
 Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | Yes | $1 | 36¢ | 32¢ | -$0 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 11?Weather | Yes | $1 | 50¢ | 45¢ | -$0 |
| Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?Culture | No | $1 | 58¢ | 64¢ | +$0 |
 Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Politics | YesResolved | $55 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
Cashed out Yes · Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 10?$044m ago