realsatoshinakamoto

Predicting since Oct 2024133 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$6	76¢	87¢	+$1
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1	Yes	$6	78¢	85¢	+$1
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech	Yes	$3	86¢	99¢	+$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics	Yes	$3	79¢	82¢	+$0
Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?Politics	Yes	$3	86¢	86¢	+$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$4	55¢	43¢	-$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$3	81¢	80¢	-$0
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech	Yes	$3	76¢	68¢	-$0
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?Tech	Yes	$3	79¢	60¢	-$1
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics	Yes	$3	75¢	38¢	-$2
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Politics	YesResolved	$3	70¢	0.0¢	-$3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$12	71¢	0.0¢	-$12
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPolitics	YesResolved	$3	89¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Politics	YesResolved	$10	77¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Trump Media invest in Ethereum before July?Politics	YesResolved	$5	63¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Economy	YesResolved	$6	76¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 4 2025)Culture	YesResolved	$3	84¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA	YesResolved	$3	62¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$3	67¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Politics	YesResolved	$3	57¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 22-28?Crypto	YesResolved	$5	90¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Politics	YesResolved	$2	93¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Culture	YesResolved	$3	80¢	0.0¢	-$3
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$5	67¢	0.0¢	-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto+$18

Politics+$16

Tech-$15

Culture-$12

Premier League+$4

Mentions+$3

NBA-$3

Economy+$3

eSports+$2

Soccer (other)+$2

Tennis+$1

NFL+$1

Biggest hit

+$8

Bitcoin new all time high in 2024?

Toughest beat

-$11

Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?

Recent moves

Cashed out Yes · Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?$46d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will there be 1-2 North Korea tests in June 2026?$325d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$326d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 69m and 73m?$327d ago
Cashed out Miho Kuramochi · ITF Sapporo: Miho Kuramochi vs Ayumi Miyamoto$428d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?$329d ago
Bought Yes · Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?$329d ago
Bought Yes · Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?$329d ago
Bought Yes · Anthropic IPO before 2027?$329d ago
Bought Yes · Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?$329d ago
Bought Miho Kuramochi · ITF Sapporo: Miho Kuramochi vs Ayumi Miyamoto$329d ago
Bought Yes · Will there be 1-2 North Korea tests in June 2026?$329d ago