← Whale Watch

rebotsliaf

Predicting since Mar 2026555 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $156K on Politics markets since Mar 2026.

Right now: $124K across 49 World Cup markets.

Biggest hit: +$97K on Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$61K50¢73¢+$28K
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$61K50¢27¢-$28K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$16K75¢80¢+$849
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$6.5K62¢56¢-$566
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$5.3K43¢44¢+$53
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2.7K7.8¢14¢+$2.1K
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$3.1K59¢57¢-$78
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoNo$2.1K22¢20¢-$221
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$97844¢44¢-$11
Trump out as President before GTA VI?PoliticsYes$81351¢50¢-$22
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoNo$93328¢24¢-$150
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$62256¢66¢+$106
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$42238¢63¢+$272
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoNo$2878.0¢14¢+$197
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$43594¢99¢+$24
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3872.7¢2.9¢+$30
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$41990¢84¢-$28
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$12311¢12¢+$15
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$280.5¢0.4¢-$8
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsNo$1046¢69¢+$5
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$112.0¢0.0¢-$11
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsWorld CupNoResolved$2.0K59¢0.0¢-$2.0K
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5561.7¢0.0¢-$556
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 0.5World CupUnderResolved$367.0¢0.0¢-$36
Will France win on 2026-06-16?World CupNoResolved$1.4K27¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2353.8¢0.0¢-$235
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2353.8¢0.0¢-$235
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2353.8¢0.0¢-$235
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5561.7¢0.0¢-$556
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPoliticsYesResolved$501.5¢0.0¢-$50
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?NBAYesResolved$2.7K60¢0.0¢-$2.7K
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$112.0¢0.0¢-$11
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5561.7¢0.0¢-$556
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5World CupUnderResolved$844¢0.0¢-$8
Spread: England (-2.5)World CupEnglandResolved$1784.0¢0.0¢-$178
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1.5K9.4¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5World CupUnderResolved$3897.0¢0.0¢-$389
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World CupNoResolved$1.7K59¢0.0¢-$1.7K
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsWorld CupNoResolved$13K46¢0.0¢-$13K
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5561.7¢0.0¢-$556
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2353.8¢0.0¢-$235
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5World CupOverResolved$1.9K35¢0.0¢-$1.9K
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld CupFranceResolved$3.2K52¢0.0¢-$3.2K
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPoliticsYesResolved$501.5¢0.0¢-$50
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5561.7¢0.0¢-$556
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?World CupYesResolved$2337.0¢0.0¢-$233
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$60019¢0.0¢-$600
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$62K7.0¢0.0¢-$62K
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)World CupBrazilResolved$2.2K28¢0.0¢-$2.2K
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?World CupYesResolved$80036¢0.0¢-$800
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$112.0¢0.0¢-$11
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)World CupNetherlandsResolved$60018¢0.0¢-$600
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?World CupYesResolved$80018¢0.0¢-$800
France vs. Iraq: O/U 0.5World CupUnderResolved$1112.5¢0.0¢-$111
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$112.0¢0.0¢-$11
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2353.8¢0.0¢-$235
Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPoliticsYesResolved$501.5¢0.0¢-$50
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5561.7¢0.0¢-$556
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5561.7¢0.0¢-$556
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2.5K2.7¢0.0¢-$2.5K
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5World CupUnderResolved$4306.8¢0.0¢-$430
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$78971¢0.0¢-$789
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$8991.4¢0.0¢-$899
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceWorld CupNetherlandsResolved$5.3K60¢0.0¢-$5.3K
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsWorld CupNoResolved$2.6K40¢0.0¢-$2.6K
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupNoResolved$1.6K47¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1.7K1.2¢0.0¢-$1.7K
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsWorld CupNoResolved$1.3K40¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5561.7¢0.0¢-$556
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5World CupUnderResolved$6.6K16¢0.0¢-$6.6K
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2433.8¢0.0¢-$243
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5World CupUnderResolved$1.7K17¢0.0¢-$1.7K
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5World CupUnderResolved$1.1K50¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPoliticsYesResolved$501.5¢0.0¢-$50
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5World CupUnderResolved$4.0K16¢0.0¢-$4.0K
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2433.8¢0.0¢-$243
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5World CupUnderResolved$2313.4¢0.0¢-$231
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?World CupNoResolved$7.0K21¢0.0¢-$7.0K
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$9.8K3.8¢0.0¢-$9.8K
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2353.8¢0.0¢-$235
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2353.8¢0.0¢-$235
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5World CupUnderResolved$4494.8¢0.0¢-$449
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2353.8¢0.0¢-$235
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5561.7¢0.0¢-$556
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2433.8¢0.0¢-$243
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?EconomyNoResolved$2308.6¢0.0¢-$230
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$911.7¢0.0¢-$91
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechNoResolved$81224¢0.0¢-$812
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2353.8¢0.0¢-$235
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5561.7¢0.0¢-$556
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$112.0¢0.0¢-$11
Spread: France (-1.5)World CupSwedenResolved$100045¢0.0¢-$1000
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?World CupNoResolved$83315¢0.0¢-$833
France vs. England: O/U 0.5World CupUnderResolved$2403.6¢0.0¢-$240
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5561.7¢0.0¢-$556
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$112.0¢0.0¢-$11
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5561.7¢0.0¢-$556
Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPoliticsYesResolved$501.5¢0.0¢-$50
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?TechDownResolved$1327¢0.0¢-$13
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5561.7¢0.0¢-$556

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$156K
World Cup-$73K
NBA-$32K
Premier League+$10K
Crypto+$7.7K
NHL-$3.5K
UFC / MMA+$3.0K
Champions League+$2.4K
Mentions+$1.2K
La Liga-$1.1K
Economy-$945
Tech-$641
Biggest hit
+$97K
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Toughest beat
-$33K
Knicks vs. Spurs

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$3.0K2d ago
  • SPLIT Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$22K3d ago