← Whale Watch

rainbowlilies

Predicting since Aug 20258,432 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $9.6K on Politics markets since Aug 2025.

Right now: $20K across 8 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$2.5K on Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$10K50¢80¢+$6.1K
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$10K50¢20¢-$6.1K
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLSNo$2.3K73¢70¢-$108
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBAYes$2192.8¢22¢+$1.5K
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$1.1K68¢69¢+$5
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$1.2K58¢56¢-$35
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Champions LeagueYes$2142.4¢13¢+$911
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBAYes$2.5K50¢20¢-$1.5K
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?Other sportsYes$31522¢66¢+$637
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$270.8¢26¢+$865
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Champions LeagueYes$1962.4¢11¢+$668
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLSYes$3897.0¢15¢+$424
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?MLBYes$4623.2¢5.1¢+$275
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Champions LeagueYes$1192.4¢14¢+$606
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Champions LeagueYes$1192.4¢14¢+$556
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Champions LeagueYes$2142.4¢7.5¢+$461
Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLSYes$6114.0¢4.2¢+$26
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Champions LeagueYes$1192.4¢12¢+$456
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBAYes$3922.8¢4.0¢+$180
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$350.8¢13¢+$518
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?MLBYes$2933.2¢5.7¢+$220
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open?TennisYes$56011¢9.5¢-$85
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBAYes$2812.8¢4.5¢+$174
Will Napoli win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Serie ANo$43086¢87¢+$2
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBAYes$1392.8¢8.5¢+$286
Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?NHLYes$792.6¢14¢+$326
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Champions LeagueYes$1.5K50¢13¢-$1.1K
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBAYes$2812.8¢3.4¢+$58
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$1363.0¢7.5¢+$201
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$353.6¢34¢+$294
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBAYes$2812.8¢3.3¢+$48
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s US Open?TennisYes$741.5¢6.3¢+$237
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Champions LeagueYes$2142.4¢3.3¢+$78
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Champions LeagueYes$1532.4¢4.2¢+$114
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?MLBYes$633.2¢14¢+$202
Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLSYes$2941.9¢1.8¢-$31
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$7780.8¢0.3¢-$521
Will the Carolina Hurricanes be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?NHLYes$632.6¢11¢+$189
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?MLBYes$1083.2¢7.3¢+$139
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLSYes$1295.1¢9.0¢+$102
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$221.1¢12¢+$208
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$221.1¢11¢+$205
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$600.8¢2.9¢+$160
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?TennisYes$92.0¢51¢+$210
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?NHLYes$852.6¢6.5¢+$125
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLSYes$1701.3¢1.7¢+$39
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 National League Championship Series?MLBYes$1086.3¢12¢+$91
Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$8930.7¢0.1¢-$694
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$16517¢21¢+$34
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLSYes$3023.2¢2.1¢-$110
Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$8850.7¢0.1¢-$702
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBAYes$1392.8¢3.6¢+$44
Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open?TennisYes$321.5¢8.3¢+$148
Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?TennisYes$1.8K50¢4.9¢-$1.6K
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$224.2¢33¢+$153
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Champions LeagueYes$1192.4¢3.4¢+$51
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$16537¢38¢+$2
Will the Dallas Stars be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?NHLYes$792.6¢5.5¢+$86
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBAYes$2222.8¢2.1¢-$58
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$893.6¢6.5¢+$73
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$5523.0¢0.9¢-$397
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBAYes$1112.8¢3.9¢+$43
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?PoliticsNo$19525¢20¢-$44
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBAYes$1392.8¢2.9¢+$4
Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?NHLYes$452.7¢8.5¢+$95
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$15120¢19¢-$13
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$1363.0¢3.0¢+$1
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLSYes$2482.5¢1.4¢-$112
Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?TennisYes$571.5¢3.5¢+$78
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$3540.4¢0.1¢-$223
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$613.0¢6.5¢+$69
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSportsNo$13467¢63¢-$7
Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?NFLYes$25050¢25¢-$128
Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLSYes$653.2¢6.1¢+$57
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$613.0¢6.0¢+$60
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 American League Championship Series?MLBYes$636.3¢12¢+$58
Will the Washington Capitals be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?NHLYes$792.6¢4.0¢+$40
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$459.1¢24¢+$72
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$919.1¢12¢+$24
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$334.2¢14¢+$81
Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$5530.7¢0.1¢-$439
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Champions LeagueYes$2142.4¢1.3¢-$102
Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLSYes$2552.4¢1.1¢-$143
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBAYes$2452.8¢1.3¢-$135
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$983.6¢3.9¢+$9
Will Karolina Muchova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?TennisYes$691.5¢2.3¢+$37
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$174.2¢27¢+$89
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?MLBYes$6213.2¢0.5¢-$515
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?MLBYes$6213.2¢0.5¢-$515
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?PoliticsNo$11922¢20¢-$14
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLSYes$1472.3¢1.7¢-$41
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$603.0¢5.3¢+$44
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$850.8¢0.9¢+$18
Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?TennisYes$491.5¢3.0¢+$51
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series?MLBYes$2373.2¢1.4¢-$138
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLSYes$1291.7¢1.3¢-$32
Will the New York Rangers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?NHLYes$882.6¢2.6¢+$1
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$2813.0¢0.9¢-$193
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFLYes$1363.0¢1.9¢-$49
Will Chicago Cubs win the 2026 National League Championship Series?MLBYes$836.2¢6.5¢+$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$9.6K
MLB-$5.2K
NBA-$4.1K
Tennis-$1.9K
Economy-$1.8K
Soccer (other)-$1.7K
NFL-$1.5K
NHL-$1.4K
MLS-$948
Other sports+$893
Formula 1-$682
La Liga-$554
Biggest hit
+$2.5K
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?
Toughest beat
-$2.2K
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in August?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?$04s ago
  • Sold Yes · Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$012s ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$054s ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$04m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$05m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?$05m ago
  • Bought No · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1658m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$429m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$09m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?$010m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?$012m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?$014m ago