 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | No | $6 | 87¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 77¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $3 | 43¢ | 83¢ | +$3 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | No | $5 | 88¢ | 82¢ | -$0 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 84¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $4 | 70¢ | 72¢ | +$0 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 87¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 86¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
 Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Economy | No | $3 | 80¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 85¢ | 76¢ | -$0 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?Politics | No | $3 | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?Politics | No | $3 | 80¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $3 | 87¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will USD/CAD hit 1.55 (High) in 2026?Finance | No | $3 | 89¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 64¢ | 42¢ | -$1 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $2 | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 79¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $3 | 91¢ | 67¢ | -$1 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 90¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics | No | $2 | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 78¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | No | $2 | 81¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 86¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?Economy | No | $2 | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
| Will USD/CAD hit 1.60 (High) in 2026?Finance | No | $2 | 93¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 91¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics | No | $2 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 90¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 89¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Economy | Yes | $2 | 90¢ | 63¢ | -$1 |
| Will USD/CAD hit 1.50 (High) in 2026?Finance | No | $2 | 87¢ | 55¢ | -$1 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 76¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 64¢ | 72¢ | +$0 |
 Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?Politics | No | $1 | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $1 | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?Politics | No | $1 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?Politics | No | $1 | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $1 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 USMCA extended in 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Economy | Yes | $1 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Sold Yes · Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?$16d ago
Bought Yes · Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?$19d ago
Sold Yes · Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$19d ago
Sold Yes · Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$19d ago
Sold No · Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026?$29d ago
Sold No · Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?$19d ago