← Whale Watch

SusanWarrenHR

Predicting since Mar 20237,222 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $4.3K on Politics markets since Mar 2023.

Right now: $2.2K across 4 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.8K on Will 2024 have the hottest March on record?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.2K48¢99¢+$1.2K
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.5K89¢99¢+$181
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$47724¢75¢+$1.0K
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$73446¢71¢+$410
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?PoliticsYes$36837¢95¢+$576
Will Trump say "Gay" or "Homosexual" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?MentionsNo$64986¢96¢+$72
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$71384¢83¢-$6
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$4218.6¢14¢+$283
Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?PoliticsYes$55787¢100¢+$83
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?PoliticsYes$36330¢52¢+$263
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?CultureNo$56669¢73¢+$33
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026PoliticsYes$28937¢77¢+$303
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?Other sportsNo$42065¢77¢+$80
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$46092¢96¢+$18
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$37749¢56¢+$58
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3494.1¢5.1¢+$86
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$41041¢42¢+$5
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1811.0¢2.1¢+$193
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?CultureYes$35288¢90¢+$6
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$5010.8¢0.5¢-$163
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$32696¢98¢+$8
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$30889¢94¢+$17
Will Trump’s remarks not air?MentionsNo$28595¢96¢+$4
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$27692¢86¢-$17
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?PoliticsNo$23192¢90¢-$5
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?CultureYes$17980¢100¢+$45
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$20255¢56¢+$5
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?No$34685¢51¢-$140
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$19597¢100¢+$5
Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$18060¢60¢-$1
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsNo$13759¢75¢+$36
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsNo$13573¢93¢+$37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$17286¢85¢-$3
Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?OtherYes$21754¢41¢-$55
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?TechYes$16458¢56¢-$5
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$13380¢91¢+$17
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?PoliticsNo$13288¢100¢+$18
Will Andy Beshear be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?PoliticsYes$7615¢28¢+$72
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?PoliticsYes$8358¢98¢+$58
Will Gavin Newsom be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?PoliticsYes$10515¢20¢+$32
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?PoliticsYes$7218¢32¢+$54
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$6761¢97¢+$40
Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?PoliticsNo$7665¢86¢+$24
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?MentionsNo$8585¢100¢+$15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$9191¢99¢+$8
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$13113¢9.7¢-$34
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$9393¢91¢-$2
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$844.9¢5.1¢+$3
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$30511¢3.1¢-$219
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?MentionsNo$6697¢98¢+$1
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$5130¢36¢+$10
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$4211¢16¢+$17
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$35434¢5.5¢-$297
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$5858¢56¢-$2
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$522.2¢2.4¢+$4
Will Warsh say "North Star" during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$4145¢60¢+$14
Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$4623¢23¢+$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?PoliticsYes$3977¢85¢+$4
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?PoliticsYes$57158¢4.0¢-$532
Will Warsh say "Iran" during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$3480¢81¢+$0
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI?TechYes$3828¢24¢-$6
Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2894¢98¢+$1
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$211.7¢2.1¢+$6
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsYes$6425¢8.5¢-$42
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$70.7¢1.6¢+$9
Will Pete Buttigieg be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?PoliticsYes$149.7¢11¢+$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$32016¢0.7¢-$307
Will Kamala Harris be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?PoliticsYes$129.5¢9.5¢-$0
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$250.7¢0.4¢-$12
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$1817.6¢0.4¢-$171
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?CultureNo$1313¢11¢-$3
Will Texas have the closest Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$12.0¢23¢+$7
Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$851¢53¢+$0
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$4896¢14¢-$41
Will Rahm Emanuel be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?PoliticsYes$711¢11¢-$0
Will Warsh say "Task Force" 20+ times during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$463¢76¢+$1
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsYes$516.6¢0.5¢-$47
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?PoliticsYes$22.9¢5.6¢+$2
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?Other sportsYes$543¢23¢-$2
Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1313¢1.1¢-$12
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?PoliticsYes$1814¢0.9¢-$17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$6121¢0.0¢-$61
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$431.6¢0.0¢-$43
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2421¢0.0¢-$24
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$424.8¢0.0¢-$42
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$7273¢0.0¢-$72
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?PoliticsNoResolved$11438¢0.0¢-$114
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$96318¢0.0¢-$963
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?PoliticsYesResolved$32292¢0.0¢-$322
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14PoliticsNoResolved$22061¢0.0¢-$220
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLNoResolved$243.4¢0.0¢-$24
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?PoliticsNoResolved$62752¢0.0¢-$627
Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$6666¢0.0¢-$66
Will Trump say "Family" 5+ times during remarks in Georgia?MentionsNoResolved$10050¢0.0¢-$100
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?PoliticsNoResolved$2517¢0.0¢-$25
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?CultureNoResolved$93.5¢0.0¢-$9
Will Trump say "Ay Ay Ay" in June?MentionsNoResolved$24682¢0.0¢-$246
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$111.8¢0.0¢-$11
Internet Access restored in Iran by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$7717¢0.0¢-$77
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceWorld CupSenegalResolved$5959¢0.0¢-$59

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$4.3K
Other-$3.4K
Crypto-$2.4K
Weather+$2.2K
Tech+$684
Finance-$422
Mentions-$330
Formula 1+$236
Culture+$181
Golf-$110
World Cup-$87
NFL-$25
Biggest hit
+$1.8K
Will 2024 have the hottest March on record?
Toughest beat
-$4.0K
US debt ceiling hike by June 1?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Trump’s remarks not air?$9614m ago
  • Bought No · Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?$22h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$02h ago
  • Bought No · Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?$22h ago
  • Bought No · Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?$22h ago
  • Bought No · Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?$22h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$02h ago
  • Bought No · Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?$22h ago
  • Bought No · Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?$793h ago
  • Bought No · Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?$463h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$13h ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$663h ago