Independenthinker

Predicting since Jan 202632 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Tech	Yes	$20	11¢	4.4¢	-$12
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Tech	Yes	$20	5.9¢	0.5¢	-$18
Will Trump say "Gay" this week? (April 5)Mentions	YesResolved	$6	26¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?Politics	YesResolved	$10	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,600 by end of February?Finance	YesResolved	$50	9.8¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Finance	YesResolved	$10	42¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?Politics	YesResolved	$10	2.1¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Trump say "Disgusting" in April?Mentions	NoResolved	$5	25¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?Tech	NoResolved	$2	23¢	0.0¢	-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETCrypto	UpResolved	$6	3.2¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?Politics	NoResolved	$10	5.7¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,000 by end of February?Finance	YesResolved	$100	2.0¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$10	58¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?Politics	YesResolved	$10	3.5¢	0.0¢	-$10
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?Finance	UpResolved	$20	21¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 13?Politics	NoResolved	$10	5.4¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?Tennis	YesResolved	$5	2.9¢	0.0¢	-$5
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Politics	NoResolved	$20	38¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?Politics	NoResolved	$20	23¢	0.0¢	-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETCrypto	DownResolved	$10	37¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Trump say "Third term" in March?Mentions	YesResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Trump shake hands with Emmanuel Macron at the World Economic Forum?Politics	YesResolved	$10	5.5¢	0.0¢	-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tennis+$202

Finance-$154

Politics-$105

Tech-$46

Crypto-$12

Mentions-$12

Biggest hit

+$150

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Toughest beat

-$1

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Recent moves

Sold Yes · Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$2924d ago
Bought Yes · Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$3024d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?$311mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$103mo ago
Bought Yes · Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?$103mo ago
Bought Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$103mo ago
Bought No · Will Trump say "Disgusting" in April?$53mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump say "Gay" this week? (April 5)$63mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Trump say "Third term" in March?$13mo ago
Bought No · US forces enter Iran by April 30?$203mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?$103mo ago
Bought No · Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?$54mo ago