← Whale Watch

0x257492f3FfA9Df584Bfb0ec93d8AA0a32135144b-1776395184666

Predicting since Apr 202677 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$104.5¢86¢+$181
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$15383¢85¢+$3
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?PoliticsYes$13982¢88¢+$8
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$10064¢92¢+$43
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$10061¢88¢+$42
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1499.8¢8.0¢-$28
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$10085¢97¢+$15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$10285¢83¢-$3
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$8651¢44¢-$13
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?TechYes$5043¢56¢+$16
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$5683¢90¢+$4
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?PoliticsYes$6868¢50¢-$18
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?TechYes$5023¢23¢-$0
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?TechYes$6565¢49¢-$17
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$8464¢35¢-$38
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?TechYes$2653¢94¢+$20
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$5027¢24¢-$7
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?TechYes$2730¢36¢+$5
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$602.6¢1.1¢-$33
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsYes$3417¢8.5¢-$17
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$2020¢16¢-$5
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$1060¢38¢-$4

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$669
Tech+$164
Culture+$57
Finance-$49
World Cup+$36
Economy-$12
Biggest hit
+$138
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Toughest beat
-$124
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?$151d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?$151d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?$2022d ago
  • Bought No · Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?$1023d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?$203d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$24d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1034d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?$24d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$2274d ago