 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $128 | 51¢ | 96¢ | +$111 |
 Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $84 | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
 Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $6 | 9.5¢ | 100¢ | +$54 |
 Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 12¢ | 100¢ | +$53 |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 14¢ | 79¢ | +$42 |
 Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $12 | 19¢ | 55¢ | +$21 |
 Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $29 | 48¢ | 23¢ | -$15 |
 Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $16 | 27¢ | 19¢ | -$5 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $17 | 7.0¢ | 1.3¢ | -$14 |
 Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 3.9¢ | 3.9¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 5.8¢ | 3.9¢ | -$1 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $11 | 4.4¢ | 0.9¢ | -$9 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $18 | 7.0¢ | 0.7¢ | -$16 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $25 | 10¢ | 0.6¢ | -$24 |
 Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 8.9¢ | 1.7¢ | -$5 |
 Will Manchester City FC vs. Salford City FC end in a draw?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $1 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 8.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 9.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?NBA | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $9 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the March meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 11?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on February 11?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $8 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $12 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?NBA | YesResolved | $5 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Stripe’s market cap be between $100B and $120B at market close on IPO day?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 23m?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $67 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$67 |
| Will Stripe’s market cap be between $80B and $100B at market close on IPO day?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 11?Crypto | YesResolved | $11 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $93 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$93 |
 Will MrBeast's latest video get 60 million or more views on week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $22 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
| Will 120 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 7.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?Culture | YesResolved | $113 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$113 |
 No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 11?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 45 and 50 million views on week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $32 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
| Will the U.S. collect more than $2t in revenue in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $38 | 5.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $67 | 9.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$67 |
| Will Stripe’s market cap be $140B or greater at market close on IPO day?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the February Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $6 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?NBA | YesResolved | $32 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
| Will 90 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on February 11?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Salford City FC win on 2026-02-14?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?Culture | YesResolved | $4 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 53m?Culture | YesResolved | $35 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
| Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?NBA | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?NFL | YesResolved | $849 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$849 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $26 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
| Will Stripe’s market cap be less than $80B at market close on IPO day?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?Culture | YesResolved | $7 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 55 and 60 million views on week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $74 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$74 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 110 million or more views on week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video not be posted?NFL | YesResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $32 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $49 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$49 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $6 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 11?Crypto | YesResolved | $21 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
 Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-02-14?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?NFL | YesResolved | $52 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$52 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $11 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?Finance | YesResolved | $5 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?Culture | YesResolved | $9 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will Stripe’s market cap be between $120B and $140B at market close on IPO day?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $1t and $2t in revenue in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?NBA | YesResolved | $2 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?NBA | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?NFL | YesResolved | $15 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get less than 45 million views on week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 11?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will there be 22 or more US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Will 60 to 89 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Italy win?Other sports | YesResolved | $4 | 7.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the match end in a draw?Other sports | YesResolved | $0 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on February 11?Crypto | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $36 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
| Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in February 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 7.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $121 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$121 |
Cashed out Yes · Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$1.0K6mo ago