 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $66 | 51¢ | 43¢ | -$11 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | Yes | $51 | 15¢ | 1.8¢ | -$45 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $5 | 27¢ | 16¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 6.0¢ | 3.4¢ | -$2 |
 Human moon landing in 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 4.4¢ | 0.9¢ | -$8 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $15 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 US recession in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $10 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $41 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Brazilian Supreme Court Minister Alexandre de Moraes be impeached 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Japan?World Cup | YesResolved | $29 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Bolsonaro guilty?Politics | NoResolved | $40 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $30 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?Politics | NoResolved | $15 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $16 | 9.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $71 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$71 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | NoResolved | $20 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $8 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Crypto | NoResolved | $32 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
 Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 50% Brazil tariff in effect by August 1?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by March 13?Politics | NoResolved | $17 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Politics | NoResolved | $15 | 7.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?Economy | NoResolved | $6 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in June?Economy | NoResolved | $5 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Politics | NoResolved | $40 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Will Flamengo win in regular time against PSG?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $40 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?Crypto | NoResolved | $5 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Sold Yes · Trump out as President before 2027?$1211d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?$4012d ago
Sold Yes · Israel closes its airspace by September 30?$9716d ago
Bought No · US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by October 31?$121d ago