 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 55¢ | 68¢ | +$3 |
 Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 19¢ | 60¢ | +$11 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $15 | 69¢ | 47¢ | -$5 |
 Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Politics | No | $11 | 19¢ | 13¢ | -$3 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $4 | 52¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
 Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $10 | 9.4¢ | 6.5¢ | -$3 |
| Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?Economy | No | $10 | 64¢ | 40¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $5 | 72¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 65¢ | 77¢ | +$1 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $7 | 2.9¢ | 2.4¢ | -$1 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $5 | 32¢ | 36¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $5 | 77¢ | 77¢ | -$0 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 16¢ | 16¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $5 | 15¢ | 14¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $5 | 14¢ | 14¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $5 | 82¢ | 78¢ | -$0 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $5 | 20¢ | 18¢ | -$1 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $4 | 77¢ | 82¢ | +$0 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?Politics | Yes | $5 | 20¢ | 15¢ | -$1 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?Politics | No | $5 | 13¢ | 9.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 36¢ | 23¢ | -$2 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | No | $5 | 52¢ | 27¢ | -$2 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 6.8¢ | 2.7¢ | -$3 |
 Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will the People Power Party win 5 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy | NoResolved | $5 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 11?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 12?Weather | YesResolved | $9 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the most seats in South Korea’s 2026 parliamentary by-elections?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 12?Weather | YesResolved | $13 | 9.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $50 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 14?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 11?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 2?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?Finance | YesResolved | $2 | 7.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 11?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy | YesResolved | $8 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Sold No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$62d ago