Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?Economy | No | $14 | 54¢ | 76¢ | +$5 |
Will AfD win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $10 | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$8 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $11 | 74¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $8 | 78¢ | 82¢ | +$0 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $5 | 37¢ | 57¢ | +$3 |
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Politics | No | $11 | 19¢ | 12¢ | -$4 |
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $7 | 2.9¢ | 2.8¢ | -$0 |
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 19¢ | 25¢ | +$1 |
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $6 | 80¢ | 73¢ | -$1 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 72¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $5 | 15¢ | 14¢ | -$0 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $4 | 89¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?Politics | Yes | $5 | 68¢ | 59¢ | -$1 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 56¢ | 43¢ | -$1 |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $5 | 14¢ | 11¢ | -$1 |
Iran leadership change by October 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 8.0¢ | 2.3¢ | -$4 |
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will the People Power Party win 5 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $15 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy | NoResolved | $5 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 9.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 11?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 12?Weather | YesResolved | $9 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the most seats in South Korea’s 2026 parliamentary by-elections?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 12?Weather | YesResolved | $13 | 9.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $50 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 14?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 6.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 11?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 2?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?Finance | YesResolved | $2 | 7.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 11?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | NoResolved | $4 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy | YesResolved | $8 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |