Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | Yes | $50 | 17¢ | 5.5¢ | -$34 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $40 | 11¢ | 3.6¢ | -$27 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $30 | 29¢ | 13¢ | -$17 |
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $60 | 13¢ | 2.6¢ | -$48 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $10 | 8.0¢ | 8.0¢ | -$0 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $20 | 19¢ | 8.5¢ | -$11 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $10 | 16¢ | 12¢ | -$3 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $10 | 13¢ | 9.1¢ | -$3 |
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 9.7¢ | 2.3¢ | -$23 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $5 | 44¢ | 30¢ | -$2 |
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Trump say "Cocaine" this week?Mentions | YesResolved | $25 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Kurds declare independence from Iran?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 8, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $210 | 88¢ | 0.0¢ | -$210 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $52 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$52 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $66 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$66 |
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $35 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $721 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$721 |