 Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Politics | No | $704 | 88¢ | 95¢ | +$52 |
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $387 | 2.1¢ | 2.9¢ | +$157 |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $289 | 2.2¢ | 1.5¢ | -$93 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $179 | 39¢ | 6.5¢ | -$149 |
 Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | No | $4 | 53¢ | 49¢ | -$0 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $208 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$208 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?Finance | UpResolved | $96 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$96 |
 Will Paramount+ be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2.1K | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.1K |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $440 | 88¢ | 0.0¢ | -$440 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?Tech | YesResolved | $497 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$497 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Tech | YesResolved | $506 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$506 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $135 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$135 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $234 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$234 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 27-February 2?Crypto | NoResolved | $1.0K | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Tech | YesResolved | $450 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$450 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Tech | YesResolved | $495 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$495 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $47 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $16 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $321 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$321 |
 Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?Finance | DownResolved | $497 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$497 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $103 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$103 |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 27-February 2?Crypto | YesResolved | $2.0K | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.0K |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $15 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $294 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$294 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $255 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$255 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on February 28?Economy | YesResolved | $8 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will UpScrolled be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?Tech | YesResolved | $50 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?Finance | DownResolved | $16 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Tech | YesResolved | $263 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$263 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $499 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$499 |
| Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $160 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$160 |
| Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $4.4K | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.4K |
 Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 9?Tech | NoResolved | $396 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$396 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $31 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
| Will Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $16 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6?Finance | DownResolved | $295 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$295 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $51 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$51 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 24-March 2?Crypto | NoResolved | $447 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$447 |
| Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $8 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $98 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$98 |
 US strikes Iraq by February 28?Politics | NoResolved | $1.9K | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.9K |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $71 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$71 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $80 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$80 |
| Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $664 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$664 |
 Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $626 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$626 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on February 28?Economy | NoResolved | $247 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$247 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $25 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $50 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $7 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $53 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$53 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $50 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $43 | 62¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
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