← Whale Watch

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Predicting since Jan 2025817 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?TechNo$10096¢97¢+$1
Revolut IPO before 2027?TechNo$8984¢95¢+$11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsNo$5092¢97¢+$3
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$4888¢95¢+$4
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?PoliticsNo$2792¢96¢+$1
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2481¢92¢+$3
OpenAI acquired before 2027?TechNo$2493¢96¢+$1
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?TechNo$1995¢98¢+$1
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?TechYes$1787¢95¢+$2
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?TechNo$1891¢90¢-$0
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$1586¢98¢+$2
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $77.5B by July 31?FinanceNo$1589¢99¢+$2
Gemini 4.0 released by July 31, 2026?TechNo$1596¢99¢+$0
China x Japan military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$1487¢93¢+$1
Anthropic acquired before 2027?TechNo$1490¢97¢+$1
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?TechYes$1281¢97¢+$2
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$1489¢94¢+$1
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1493¢96¢+$0
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?TechYes$1363¢69¢+$1
US strike on Mexico by December 31?PoliticsNo$1282¢88¢+$1
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?TechNo$1185¢96¢+$1
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?TechMeta$1078¢82¢+$1
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$985¢96¢+$1
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?CryptoNo$990¢96¢+$1
Trump out as President by July 31?PoliticsNo$1099¢100¢+$0
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?PoliticsNo$1098¢100¢+$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?PoliticsNo$1097¢99¢+$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$990¢99¢+$1
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.0T by July 31?FinanceNo$994¢99¢+$0
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?TechNo$994¢98¢+$0
Human moon landing in 2026?TechNo$995¢98¢+$0
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?CryptoNo$988¢98¢+$1
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?CultureNo$1096¢98¢+$0
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$985¢97¢+$1
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$989¢97¢+$1
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$993¢97¢+$0
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$995¢97¢+$0
Will US annex any territory in 2026?PoliticsNo$988¢96¢+$1
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?CryptoNo$989¢96¢+$1
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?CryptoNo$991¢96¢+$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$986¢96¢+$1
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$992¢96¢+$0
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?PoliticsNo$988¢96¢+$1
US x China Military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$991¢96¢+$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?PoliticsNo$993¢95¢+$0
SBF released from custody in 2026?PoliticsNo$1096¢95¢-$0
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?PoliticsNo$988¢95¢+$1
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?PoliticsNo$994¢95¢+$0
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?PoliticsNo$1096¢94¢-$0
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?TechNo$992¢94¢+$0
ByteDance IPO before 2027?TechNo$989¢94¢+$0
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$882¢93¢+$1
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$884¢93¢+$1
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?TechNo$989¢93¢+$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$878¢92¢+$1
Epic Games IPO before 2027?TechNo$882¢91¢+$1
Databricks IPO before 2027?TechNo$882¢91¢+$1
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?PoliticsNo$884¢91¢+$1
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?TechNo$991¢91¢-$0
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?PoliticsNo$881¢90¢+$1
Will BP be acquired before 2027?TechNo$985¢90¢+$0
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$884¢88¢+$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$990¢88¢-$0
Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayOther sportsNo$774¢88¢+$1
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceNo$987¢88¢+$0
Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?CryptoNo$992¢87¢-$1
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?TechNo$986¢86¢+$0
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?PoliticsNo$876¢86¢+$1
AI bubble burst in 2026?TechNo$771¢84¢+$1
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?TechNo$876¢84¢+$1
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?EconomyNo$662¢84¢+$2
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$991¢82¢-$1
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechNo$766¢81¢+$2
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?TechYes$768¢81¢+$1
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?TechNo$876¢81¢+$1
Will Trump nationalize elections?PoliticsNo$880¢81¢+$0
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by July 31?FinanceNo$897¢97¢-$0
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?TechYes$883¢80¢-$0
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$1096¢80¢-$2
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?PoliticsNo$665¢80¢+$1
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$884¢77¢-$1
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?TechYes$773¢74¢+$0
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?EconomyNo$990¢70¢-$2
Anthropic IPO before 2027?TechYes$876¢68¢-$1
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by August 31, 2026?TechNo$992¢68¢-$2
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?TechYes$664¢64¢-$0
Trump out as President before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$551¢51¢-$0
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$552¢51¢-$0
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$553¢50¢-$0
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$551¢50¢-$0
Stripe IPO before 2027?TechNo$485¢97¢+$1
US strike on Colombia by December 31?PoliticsNo$484¢76¢-$0
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$364¢68¢+$0
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in July?FinanceYes$1572¢7.5¢-$13
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by July 31?FinanceNo$588¢25¢-$4
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?World CupYesResolved$553¢0.0¢-$5
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$562¢0.0¢-$5
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?TechYesResolved$655¢0.0¢-$6
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$877¢0.0¢-$8
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?PoliticsNoResolved$441¢0.0¢-$4

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$147
Finance-$44
Economy+$43
Tech+$24
Crypto+$22
World Cup-$20
Culture+$11
Other sports-$10
Weather+$8
Other-$2
Mentions-$1
Biggest hit
+$23
Will the Conservative Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?
Toughest beat
-$20
Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · FDA approves Outlook Therapeutics' ONS-5010?$61d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?$610d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?$1714d ago