← Whale Watch

itsjustcheddar

Predicting since Feb 202514,711 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $36K on Politics markets since Feb 2025.

Right now: $1.0K across 6 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$4.2K on Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 29?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?PoliticsYes$49446¢98¢+$573
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?EconomyYes$15744¢34¢-$34
Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?TechYes$2011¢61¢+$96
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?EconomyYes$7220¢26¢+$23
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$5550¢87¢+$40
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?EconomyYes$6517¢25¢+$30
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?CryptoYes$25447¢17¢-$165
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$319.3¢24¢+$47
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?TechYes$3318¢38¢+$39
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1513¢63¢+$56
Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsNo$70100¢100¢+$0
Will Sol Zanetti be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsNo$70100¢100¢+$0
Will Ruba Ghazal be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsNo$70100¢99¢-$0
Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsNo$70100¢99¢-$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-23 House seat?PoliticsYes$3650¢94¢+$31
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?TechYes$5468¢78¢+$8
Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsNo$4666¢87¢+$15
Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$50100¢100¢+$0
Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$50100¢100¢+$0
Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$4897¢100¢+$2
Will Jake Lang be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida?PoliticsNo$5099¢100¢+$0
Will Elizabeth Girard be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?PoliticsNo$4897¢100¢+$2
Will A.C. Toulme be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida?PoliticsNo$4997¢100¢+$1
Will Brian Cole be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?PoliticsNo$4999¢100¢+$0
Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$1837¢99¢+$31
Will Melissa Bailey be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?PoliticsNo$4997¢99¢+$1
Will Michaelangelo Hamilton be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida?PoliticsNo$4999¢99¢+$0
Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$3570¢99¢+$15
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?CultureYes$817¢91¢+$37
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?TechYes$4819¢17¢-$5
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?CryptoYes$3450¢64¢+$9
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsNo$4693¢86¢-$4
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?CryptoYes$10350¢20¢-$62
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?PoliticsYes$2150¢86¢+$15
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$3050¢57¢+$5
Will the Liberals (L) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$30100¢100¢+$0
Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$30100¢100¢-$0
Will the Green Party (MP) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$30100¢100¢-$0
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$30100¢100¢+$0
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$2998¢100¢+$1
Will the Centre Party (C) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$30100¢100¢-$0
Will the Left Party (V) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$30100¢100¢+$0
Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$2997¢100¢+$1
Will Clémentine Autain be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$2995¢99¢+$1
Will Rogério Barra win the Governor of Pará election?PoliticsNo$2998¢99¢+$0
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$2790¢98¢+$3
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$3364¢57¢-$3
Will Dirceu Ten Caten win the Governor of Pará election?PoliticsNo$2998¢97¢-$0
Will Paulo Rocha win the Governor of Pará election?PoliticsNo$2998¢97¢-$0
Will Zequinha Marinho win the Governor of Pará election?PoliticsNo$2998¢97¢-$0
Will Éder Mauro win the Governor of Pará election?PoliticsNo$2997¢96¢-$0
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?EconomyYes$913¢39¢+$18
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-08 House seat?PoliticsNo$2582¢87¢+$1
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$2971¢64¢-$3
Will the Republican Party win the IN-01 House seat?PoliticsNo$2375¢85¢+$3
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?EconomyYes$1318¢33¢+$10
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$817¢45¢+$14
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$817¢41¢+$12
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$2169¢68¢-$0
Will Ultra Prime win the LPL 2026 season?eSportsNo$2099¢100¢+$0
Will Oh My God win the LPL 2026 season?eSportsNo$2099¢100¢+$0
Will Weibo Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?eSportsNo$1991¢98¢+$1
Will Royal Never Give Up win the LPL 2026 season?eSportsNo$2099¢100¢+$0
Will Québec solidaire win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsNo$20100¢100¢+$0
Will Ninjas in Pyjamas win the LPL 2026 season?eSportsNo$2099¢100¢+$0
Will Parti vert du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsNo$20100¢100¢-$0
Will LNG Esports win the LPL 2026 season?eSportsNo$2099¢100¢+$0
Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsNo$20100¢100¢+$0
Will EDward Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?eSportsNo$2099¢100¢+$0
Will LGD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?eSportsNo$2099¢100¢+$0
Will MUNDO-GB
 win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?PoliticsNo$1996¢99¢+$1
Will ThunderTalk Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?eSportsNo$2099¢99¢+$0
Will the Kulmiye Party (Peace, Unity, and Development Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$20100¢98¢-$0
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$1681¢97¢+$3
Will Team WE win the LPL 2026 season?eSportsNo$2099¢97¢-$0
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?PoliticsNo$2098¢96¢-$0
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?PoliticsNo$1052¢96¢+$9
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington NationalsMLBWashington Nationals$1048¢88¢+$9
Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?eSportsNo$1991¢93¢+$0
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?PoliticsNo$1995¢94¢-$0
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?PoliticsNo$1052¢93¢+$8
Will JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?eSportsNo$1992¢88¢-$1
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland GuardiansMLBCleveland Guardians$1744¢48¢+$1
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?TechYes$1620¢23¢+$2
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?EconomyYes$11.8¢25¢+$17
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?PoliticsNo$1997¢90¢-$1
Will Top Esports win the LPL 2026 season?eSportsNo$1991¢87¢-$1
Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season?eSportsNo$1786¢86¢-$0
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027PoliticsNo$2086¢77¢-$2
Coca-Cola (KO) Q2 global unit case volume growth <3.5%?FinanceYes$631¢79¢+$10
Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election?PoliticsNo$1757¢51¢-$2
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis CardinalsMLBSt. Louis Cardinals$1155¢73¢+$3
Boston Red Sox vs. New York YankeesMLBBoston Red Sox$1350¢53¢+$1
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$243.1¢1.8¢-$11
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePoliticsYes$2020¢14¢-$6
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in July?EconomyYes$61.7¢3.6¢+$7
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in July?EconomyYes$20.5¢2.6¢+$9
Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco GiantsMLBSan Francisco Giants$1249¢47¢-$1
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?TechNo$1091¢98¢+$1
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in July?EconomyYes$61.1¢2.1¢+$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$36K
Culture+$11K
Weather+$9.5K
Crypto+$4.8K
Economy+$4.4K
NBA+$2.5K
Tech+$1.8K
Finance+$1.5K
eSports+$1.5K
Soccer (other)+$1.2K
MLB+$1.1K
Formula 1+$764
Biggest hit
+$4.2K
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 29?
Toughest beat
-$290
Will Donald Trump's tie be red on May 7, 2026?

Recent moves

  • MERGE Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers$51m ago
  • MERGE San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins$51m ago
  • MERGE Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles$51m ago
  • MERGE Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins$101m ago
  • MERGE Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox$101m ago
  • MERGE Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers$51m ago
  • MERGE Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets$51m ago
  • MERGE Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox$51m ago
  • MERGE Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$121m ago
  • MERGE Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals$101m ago
  • Bought San Francisco Giants · Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants$215m ago
  • Bought Texas Rangers · Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers$248m ago