← Whale Watch

OneChina

Predicting since Jan 20264,165 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the DHS shutdown last 80 days or more?PoliticsNoResolved$4795¢100¢+$3
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?TechNoResolved$3896¢100¢+$2
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechNo$3998¢86¢-$5
Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?PoliticsNoResolved$2292¢100¢+$2
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1889¢100¢+$2
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$1787¢100¢+$3
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1889¢100¢+$2
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1997¢100¢+$1
Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 4.6M in Q1?EconomyNoResolved$1994¢100¢+$1
Will Juliana Stratton win the Illinois Democratic Senate Primary by between 6% and 9%?PoliticsYesResolved$2099¢100¢+$0
Will Robert Lulgjuraj be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?PoliticsNo$1995¢99¢+$1
Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30?CultureNoResolved$1385¢100¢+$2
Will Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?PoliticsNoResolved$1389¢100¢+$2
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?TechYesResolved$1386¢100¢+$2
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?PoliticsNo$1787¢55¢-$6
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1890¢51¢-$8
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$991¢100¢+$1
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?TechNoResolved$891¢100¢+$1
Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026?PoliticsNo$1080¢50¢-$4
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?PoliticsYesResolved$04.0¢100¢+$5
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?PoliticsNoResolved$489¢100¢+$0
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$496¢100¢+$0
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$494¢100¢+$0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?TechNo$390¢96¢+$0
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?CultureNoResolved$395¢100¢+$0
Will Emanuel Jones be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?PoliticsNoResolved$397¢100¢+$0
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?PoliticsYes$286¢98¢+$0
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Kansas City Chiefs next?NFLNo$189¢69¢-$0
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $665 Week of April 13 2026?FinanceYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 17?WeatherNoResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Wolfgang Grozo finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.00 Week of April 13 2026?FinanceYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of April 13 2026?FinanceYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will another outcome occur in the Illinois Democratic Senate Primary?PoliticsYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Juliana Stratton win the Illinois Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 3%?PoliticsYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 17?WeatherYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) hit (LOW) $585 Week of April 13 2026?FinanceYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?CultureYesResolved$1994¢0.0¢-$19
Will José Williams finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Pacto Histórico win 18-20 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Pacto Histórico win 24-26 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?PoliticsNoResolved$4386¢0.0¢-$43
Will Kurt win the Legend Trade Series?eSportsYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?PoliticsNoResolved$993¢0.0¢-$9
Will Arxis’s market cap be greater than $13B at market close on IPO day?FinanceNoResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Arxis’s market cap be between $11B and $12B at market close on IPO day?FinanceYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on April 17?WeatherYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi win the Illinois Democratic Senate Primary by between 3% and 6%?PoliticsYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) hit (LOW) $590 Week of April 13 2026?FinanceYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of April 13 2026?FinanceYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Alianza para el Progreso (APP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?PoliticsYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 April 13-19?CryptoYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will glm-5.1 be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?TechYesResolved$21.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?PoliticsYesResolved$5295¢0.0¢-$52
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on April 17?WeatherYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on April 17?WeatherYesResolved$36.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will PH win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?PoliticsYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on April 17?WeatherYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Analilia Mejia win the NJ-11 Special Election by between 25% and 30%?PoliticsYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Carol Obando-Derstine be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?PoliticsYesResolved$35.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $160 Week of April 13 2026?FinanceYesResolved$13.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on April 17?WeatherNoResolved$11.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Morality, Unity, Honour (MECh) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$22.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi win the Illinois Democratic Senate Primary by between 6% and 9%?PoliticsYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 17?PoliticsYesResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Alamar Biosciences not IPO before June 2026?FinanceYesResolved$24.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of April 13 2026?FinanceYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Alfonso López Chau finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$42.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Audias Flores-Silva be arrested in 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1892¢0.0¢-$18
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.00 Week of April 13 2026?FinanceYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Brian Thomas Jr. be traded?NFLYesResolved$1891¢0.0¢-$18
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 17?WeatherNoResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $315 Week of April 13 2026?FinanceYesResolved$13.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?PoliticsYesResolved$02.5¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 17?WeatherYesResolved$11.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Benoît Saint Denis fight Paddy Pimblett next?UFC / MMANoResolved$1892¢0.0¢-$18
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?FinanceYesResolved$1786¢0.0¢-$17
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 17?WeatherYesResolved$35.0¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on April 17?WeatherNoResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will SpaceX raise at least $120B in its IPO?TechYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Chicago Mercantile Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$06.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Fernando Olivera finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Hezbollah disarm by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$06.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?PoliticsYesResolved$1787¢0.0¢-$17
Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?EconomyYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 16-19 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 17?WeatherNoResolved$02.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$24.8¢0.0¢-$2
Will another outcome occur in the NJ-11 Special Election?PoliticsYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 Week of April 13 2026?FinanceYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on April 17?WeatherYesResolved$24.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Derrick Gallego be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?PoliticsYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Spotify Monthly Active Users above 780M in Q1?EconomyYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Pacto Histórico win <18 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $100 Week of April 13 2026?FinanceNoResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $135 Week of April 13 2026?FinanceYesResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 17?WeatherYesResolved$24.0¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Finance-$335
Politics-$264
Mentions-$25
UFC / MMA-$18
NFL-$18
Weather-$13
Culture-$6
NBA+$5
Economy+$5
Tech+$3
Other sports+$1
Crypto-$1
Biggest hit
+$20
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Toughest beat
-$90
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 on February 17?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Elliot die in Euphoria: Season 3?$13mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Donald Trump announce Matt Gaetz as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$03mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will another outcome occur in the the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections?$23mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$23mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$73mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$173mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in April?$183mo ago
  • Sold No · Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$133mo ago
  • Sold No · Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$93mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the DHS shutdown end between April 16-19 2026?$03mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the DHS shutdown end between April 16-19 2026?$03mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the DHS shutdown end between April 16-19 2026?$03mo ago