| Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q2 total service revenues be above $19B?Finance | NoResolved | $45 | 26¢ | 100¢ | +$130 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $100 | 18¢ | 21¢ | +$16 |
 Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $59 | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$42 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $39 | 68¢ | 99¢ | +$18 |
 Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $22 | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$29 |
| Will Verizon (VZ) Q2 total operating revenue be above $35B?Finance | NoResolved | $11 | 27¢ | 100¢ | +$31 |
| Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?Culture | No | $51 | 40¢ | 32¢ | -$10 |
 Will Bank First (BFC) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | NoResolved | $10 | 24¢ | 100¢ | +$30 |
| Will David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?Culture | No | $36 | 32¢ | 34¢ | +$2 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $30 | 74¢ | 93¢ | +$7 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $49 | 61¢ | 45¢ | -$13 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Politics | No | $29 | 79¢ | 95¢ | +$6 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $30 | 79¢ | 88¢ | +$3 |
 Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $51 | 74¢ | 45¢ | -$20 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $30 | 74¢ | 75¢ | +$0 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $28 | 58¢ | 60¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $17 | 42¢ | 68¢ | +$10 |
| Will Nous Research launch a token by June 30, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $58 | 78¢ | 34¢ | -$32 |
 California Immunology Research Bond PropositionPolitics | Yes | $29 | 76¢ | 57¢ | -$7 |
| Will Catena launch a token by September 30, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $28 | 70¢ | 54¢ | -$6 |
 Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Politics | No | $47 | 25¢ | 12¢ | -$26 |
 Will Stripe have the third highest private market valuation on July 31?Tech | No | $7 | 17¢ | 54¢ | +$15 |
 Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
| Will Nous Research launch a token by September 30, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $29 | 75¢ | 54¢ | -$8 |
 Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $5.50 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $31 | 77¢ | 50¢ | -$11 |
| Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?Politics | No | $17 | 24¢ | 28¢ | +$3 |
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $23 | 58¢ | 46¢ | -$5 |
| Will Codex launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $30 | 74¢ | 45¢ | -$12 |
| Will Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?Culture | Yes | $20 | 50¢ | 44¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?Other | Yes | $23 | 57¢ | 44¢ | -$5 |
 Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Politics | Yes | $26 | 26¢ | 17¢ | -$9 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 iPhone revenue be above $55B?Finance | No | $28 | 70¢ | 42¢ | -$11 |
 Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Politics | No | $23 | 19¢ | 14¢ | -$6 |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $15 | 87¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?Politics | Yes | $11 | 57¢ | 79¢ | +$4 |
| Will Chaos Labs launch a token by September 30, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $58 | 77¢ | 20¢ | -$43 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $30 | 70¢ | 34¢ | -$15 |
| Will LI.FI launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $22 | 58¢ | 36¢ | -$8 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Tech | No | $15 | 37¢ | 34¢ | -$1 |
 Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?Tech | No | $7 | 28¢ | 53¢ | +$6 |
 Will $ANSEM dip to $0.04 before 2027?Crypto | No | $7 | 18¢ | 33¢ | +$6 |
| Will Prime Intellect launch a token by September 30, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $61 | 83¢ | 18¢ | -$48 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $23 | 58¢ | 32¢ | -$10 |
 Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $16 | 80¢ | 62¢ | -$4 |
 Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $15 | 37¢ | 30¢ | -$3 |
 Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?Politics | No | $21 | 30¢ | 16¢ | -$10 |
| Will Veda launch a token by June 30, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $36 | 89¢ | 27¢ | -$25 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $10 | 74¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
| Will GTE launch a token by September 30, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $14 | 61¢ | 45¢ | -$4 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $13 | 54¢ | 42¢ | -$3 |
| Will Prime Intellect launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $23 | 59¢ | 27¢ | -$13 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 75¢ | 90¢ | +$2 |
| Will Squid launch a token by October 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $2 | 7.0¢ | 31¢ | +$7 |
| Will Chaos Labs launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $26 | 66¢ | 23¢ | -$17 |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $30 | 19¢ | 5.7¢ | -$21 |
| Will Linda Gorton win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election?Politics | No | $14 | 34¢ | 22¢ | -$5 |
| Will “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?Culture | No | $16 | 20¢ | 10¢ | -$8 |
| Will Prime Intellect launch a token by June 30, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $26 | 65¢ | 20¢ | -$18 |
| Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series?Culture | No | $10 | 17¢ | 13¢ | -$3 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.?Politics | Yes | $46 | 42¢ | 7.0¢ | -$38 |
| Will Chaos Labs launch a token by June 30, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $36 | 89¢ | 19¢ | -$28 |
| Will Squid launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $5 | 12¢ | 19¢ | +$3 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 11¢ | 8.5¢ | -$2 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Tech | No | $8 | 21¢ | 17¢ | -$2 |
| Will $ANSEM dip to $0.08 before 2027?Crypto | No | $12 | 11¢ | 6.2¢ | -$5 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 2.5¢ | 1.5¢ | -$4 |
 Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $8 | 38¢ | 30¢ | -$2 |
| Will Veda launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $9 | 72¢ | 47¢ | -$3 |
| Will Squid launch a token by March 31, 2027?Crypto | No | $4 | 9.0¢ | 15¢ | +$2 |
 Will Tom Perriello be the VA-05 Democratic nominee?Politics | No | $18 | 16¢ | 5.0¢ | -$13 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 Cloud Revenue be above $23B?Finance | YesResolved | $3 | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
 Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $23 | 38¢ | 8.2¢ | -$18 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Politics | Yes | $8 | 57¢ | 34¢ | -$3 |
| Will Pluralis launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $8 | 77¢ | 42¢ | -$4 |
 Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?Politics | No | $11 | 14¢ | 5.5¢ | -$7 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $5 | 24¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?Politics | No | $7 | 38¢ | 22¢ | -$3 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $10 | 26¢ | 11¢ | -$6 |
| Will Noah Wyle – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series?Culture | No | $5 | 12¢ | 8.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will Shannon Taylor be the VA-01 Democratic nominee?Politics | No | $54 | 25¢ | 1.5¢ | -$51 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?Tech | No | $8 | 13¢ | 5.1¢ | -$5 |
| Will Trump say "Soaking Wet" in July?Mentions | Yes | $33 | 83¢ | 8.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?Politics | No | $1 | 41¢ | 81¢ | +$1 |
 Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?Politics | No | $3 | 9.0¢ | 9.1¢ | +$0 |
 Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Politics | No | $5 | 13¢ | 6.7¢ | -$2 |
| Will Victor Marx win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by less than 1%?Politics | No | $12 | 7.9¢ | 1.5¢ | -$9 |
 Squid FDV above $40M one day after launchCrypto | No | $3 | 24¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
| Will Oscar Isaac – “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?Culture | No | $2 | 38¢ | 40¢ | +$0 |
| Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 1?Culture | No | $22 | 34¢ | 2.2¢ | -$21 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11.5B by July 31?Finance | No | $0 | 34¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Will AT&T (T) Q2 total revenue be above $31.6B?Finance | YesResolved | $13 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $53 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$53 |
 FDA approves Outlook Therapeutics' ONS-5010?Tech | NoResolved | $14 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will AT&T (T) Q2 total revenue be above $31.8B?Finance | YesResolved | $26 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
| Will Newmont (NEM) Q2 total attributable gold production be above 1,300 koz?Finance | YesResolved | $43 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 YouTube ads revenue be above $10.6B?Finance | NoResolved | $15 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will a trailer for Avengers: Doomsday premiere at SDCC 2026?Culture | NoResolved | $4 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 Cloud Revenue be above $22B?Finance | NoResolved | $6 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Newmont (NEM) Q2 total attributable gold production be above 1,200 koz?Finance | NoResolved | $29 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
Bought No · Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?$36d ago
Sold No · Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$367d ago
Sold No · Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$437d ago
Sold No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?$777d ago
Sold Yes · Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$1497d ago