← Whale Watch

Gohst

Predicting since Aug 20251,915 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $46K on Politics markets since Aug 2025.

Right now: $2.4K riding on Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?.

Biggest hit: +$1.7K on Will Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.3K30¢98¢+$5.3K
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?PoliticsNo$2.4K30¢94¢+$5.0K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$72813¢92¢+$4.2K
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$2.3K35¢72¢+$2.5K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$1.7K41¢100¢+$2.5K
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$40015¢100¢+$2.3K
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?PoliticsNo$1.2K45¢89¢+$1.2K
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?PoliticsNo$56033¢99¢+$1.1K
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?PoliticsNo$49414¢33¢+$676
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$48037¢88¢+$655
US strike on Colombia by December 31?PoliticsNo$75560¢76¢+$193
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsNo$49837¢69¢+$437
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$27028¢76¢+$468
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$24026¢80¢+$494
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$23436¢94¢+$376
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsNo$24240¢99¢+$365
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?PoliticsNo$30045¢87¢+$280
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsYes$25825¢52¢+$279
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?PoliticsNo$9813¢64¢+$383
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?PoliticsNo$18034¢89¢+$293
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?PoliticsNo$17128¢70¢+$251
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$20931¢60¢+$198
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$21336¢64¢+$165
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$10027¢95¢+$257
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsNo$16145¢97¢+$185
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$18230¢56¢+$156
GTA 6 launch postponed again?TechNo$7019¢90¢+$254
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$9723¢66¢+$184
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?PoliticsYes$1.1K25¢6.3¢-$813
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$10227¢65¢+$146
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$8834¢93¢+$151
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?PoliticsNo$7226¢79¢+$146
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsYes$5824¢85¢+$149
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?PoliticsNo$5727¢96¢+$146
Will Nigel Farage win 40–50% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsNo$11458¢96¢+$75
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$12532¢44¢+$47
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?PoliticsNo$4421¢80¢+$124
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?PoliticsNo$4422¢84¢+$122
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$4933¢97¢+$96
Will Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan be arrested in 2026?PoliticsNo$7437¢66¢+$58
Will Tom Cotton be the next Senate Majority Leader?PoliticsYes$44920¢5.9¢-$318
Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?PoliticsNo$8818¢26¢+$40
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$24035¢19¢-$112
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?No$5725¢51¢+$57
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?TechYes$4438¢97¢+$68
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4036¢94¢+$64
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$2518¢74¢+$78
Anthropic IPO before 2027?TechNo$4815¢32¢+$54
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?PoliticsNo$2222¢100¢+$79
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4029¢72¢+$58
Discord IPO before 2027?TechYes$8834¢35¢+$3
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsNo$3035¢94¢+$51
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechYes$8720¢19¢-$6
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$2934¢94¢+$50
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherNo$2737¢95¢+$43
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$2735¢90¢+$42
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?PoliticsYes$13315¢7.5¢-$66
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?PoliticsNo$28026¢5.9¢-$215
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?PoliticsYes$20523¢7.0¢-$142
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?PoliticsNo$2835¢77¢+$34
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsNo$5514¢16¢+$4
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?PoliticsNo$4425¢32¢+$12
Will Matt Gaetz announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$2038¢92¢+$28
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?PoliticsNo$2236¢72¢+$21
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?PoliticsYes$12914¢4.5¢-$86
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?EconomyNo$1434¢94¢+$25
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?PoliticsNo$1336¢96¢+$22
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?TechNo$3139¢44¢+$4
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$1534¢71¢+$16
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?EconomyNo$720¢86¢+$24
Will Republican House incumbents not win in three or fewer nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$3720¢13¢-$13
Rippling IPO before 2027?TechNo$933¢85¢+$14
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?PoliticsNo$30047¢3.3¢-$279
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?PoliticsNo$738¢100¢+$12
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-09 House seat?PoliticsYes$2926¢17¢-$11
Will Dave Bronson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?PoliticsNo$725¢64¢+$10
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$13523¢2.8¢-$119
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?PoliticsYes$4014¢5.7¢-$24
Will SZA have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?CultureYes$722¢49¢+$9
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?PoliticsNo$1816¢14¢-$2
Epstein client list released by July 31?PoliticsNo$859¢99¢+$5
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?TechYes$1334¢34¢-$0
Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$738¢67¢+$5
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?CultureYes$639¢79¢+$6
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?WeatherNo$534¢78¢+$6
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?CultureNo$922¢26¢+$1
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?PoliticsNo$4532¢6.3¢-$36
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?PoliticsNo$218¢79¢+$6
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$232¢93¢+$4
Will the Republican Party win the CT-05 House seat?PoliticsYes$1516¢6.5¢-$9
Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat?PoliticsYes$224¢87¢+$4
Will John Larson be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?PoliticsYes$418¢21¢+$1
Will Phil Scott win the 2026 Vermont Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$245¢99¢+$3
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?PoliticsNo$238¢85¢+$3
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$418¢17¢-$0
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?TechYes$234¢56¢+$2
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1427¢7.0¢-$11
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be less than 5?PoliticsYes$4316¢1.4¢-$39
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsYes$24039¢0.5¢-$237
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-18 House seat?PoliticsNo$515¢10¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$46K
Tech+$3.2K
Culture+$2.6K
Weather+$2.2K
Other sports+$720
Mentions-$597
Economy+$364
Crypto-$124
Other+$36
Finance-$20
eSports+$14
Golf-$6
Biggest hit
+$1.7K
Will Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud?
Toughest beat
-$353
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 24?$01d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$2581d ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$3002d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$1832d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$3002d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$3002d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$863d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$2623d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$4003d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$3003d ago
  • Bought No · Will Nigel Farage win 40–50% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?$1144d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$654d ago