← Whale Watch

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Predicting since Jul 2021322 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $2.3K on Tech markets since Jul 2021.

Right now: $1.3K riding on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?.

Biggest hit: +$2.4K on US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.3K93¢99¢+$89
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$94394¢96¢+$14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$37675¢80¢+$25
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?TechNo$20852¢76¢+$96
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$233.9¢43¢+$235
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?TechNo$15568¢90¢+$50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?PoliticsYes$17889¢100¢+$22
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$15075¢100¢+$50
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?PoliticsYes$18492¢100¢+$15
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsYes$8822¢49¢+$108
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?TechYes$12251¢80¢+$68
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?TechNo$16683¢86¢+$5
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$13869¢73¢+$8
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$10452¢63¢+$21
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsYes$7171¢99¢+$28
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$9393¢96¢+$3
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?TechNo$7373¢83¢+$9
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$8414¢12¢-$15
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$4210¢12¢+$8
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$3518¢13¢-$10
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?TechYes$3010¢7.5¢-$8
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$1154¢98¢+$9
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?FinanceYes$2814¢9.5¢-$9
Blue tsunami in 2026?PoliticsYes$1128¢45¢+$6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?FinanceYes$164.0¢1.1¢-$11
US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$5025¢2.2¢-$45
Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?TechYesResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?PoliticsYesResolved$59053¢0.0¢-$590
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$548¢0.0¢-$5
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3602.7¢0.0¢-$360
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$34439¢0.0¢-$344
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?PoliticsNoResolved$1.0K64¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?TechYesResolved$15616¢0.0¢-$156
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$355.8¢0.0¢-$35

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech+$2.3K
Politics-$1.8K
Economy+$623
Crypto+$486
Culture+$259
Mentions-$79
Other sports-$31
Finance+$30
Boxing+$15
World Cup-$14
Weather+$7
Other-$6
Biggest hit
+$2.4K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$4.1K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?$111d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?$01d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?$11d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?$21d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?$502d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Aleksandr Logunov win the 2026 Fields Medal?$172d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?$13d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?$303d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?$313d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?$1463d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?$93d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$1503d ago