0x2eba…ffa3

Predicting since Jul 2021344 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.9K on Politics markets since Jul 2021.

Right now: $1.0K riding on US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?.

Biggest hit: +$2.4K on US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech	Yes	$944	79¢	88¢	+$106
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics	No	$345	69¢	72¢	+$15
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?Tech	No	$208	52¢	89¢	+$146
Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?Politics	Yes	$264	41¢	47¢	+$39
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?Tech	No	$155	68¢	96¢	+$64
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?Tech	No	$166	83¢	96¢	+$27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$236	59¢	48¢	-$46
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$104	52¢	53¢	+$1
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics	No	$93	93¢	98¢	+$5
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?Tech	No	$73	73¢	90¢	+$16
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to MP or KD?Politics	MP	$50	50¢	84¢	+$34
Sweden Parliamentary Election: S Over/Under 31%?Politics	Under	$56	56¢	81¢	+$25
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Politics	Yes	$53	24¢	35¢	+$23
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics	Yes	$84	14¢	9.0¢	-$30
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics	No	$231	42¢	8.3¢	-$185
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 30% and 33% of all valid votes?Politics	Yes	$102	38¢	15¢	-$61
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics	Yes	$42	10¢	9.0¢	-$4
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)	No	$38	38¢	37¢	-$1
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Tech	Yes	$30	10¢	9.5¢	-$2
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics	No	$34	17¢	13¢	-$9
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Politics	No	$11	54¢	98¢	+$9
Blue tsunami in 2026?Politics	Yes	$11	28¢	42¢	+$5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$35	18¢	7.2¢	-$21
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$10	1.3¢	1.6¢	+$2
Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$1	12¢	0.0¢	-$1
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Politics	YesResolved	$590	53¢	0.0¢	-$590
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$5	48¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$130	13¢	0.0¢	-$130
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?Politics	YesResolved	$40	65¢	0.0¢	-$40
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Politics	YesResolved	$54	27¢	0.0¢	-$54
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$360	2.7¢	0.0¢	-$360
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Politics	YesResolved	$344	39¢	0.0¢	-$344
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$951	86¢	0.0¢	-$951
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Politics	NoResolved	$1.0K	64¢	0.0¢	-$1.0K
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?Tech	YesResolved	$156	16¢	0.0¢	-$156
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?Finance	YesResolved	$28	14¢	0.0¢	-$28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$35	5.8¢	0.0¢	-$35

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$1.9K

Tech+$822

Economy+$542

Crypto+$486

Culture+$259

Mentions-$79

Other sports-$31

Boxing+$15

World Cup-$14

Weather+$7

Finance+$6

Other-$6

Biggest hit

+$2.4K

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Toughest beat

-$4.1K

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Recent moves

Cashed out No · Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?$06h ago
Cashed out No · Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?$02d ago
Sold Yes · Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?$3554d ago
Bought No · Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?$1164d ago
Bought No · Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?$95d ago
Bought No · Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?$105d ago
Bought No · Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?$105d ago
Bought No · Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?$895d ago
Bought No · Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?$595d ago
Bought No · Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?$85d ago
Bought No · Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?$1585d ago
Bought No · Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?$35d ago