Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?Finance | No | $350 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Politics | No | $341 | 73¢ | 69¢ | -$20 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Politics | No | $291 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | Yes | $228 | 36¢ | 43¢ | +$41 |
Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $164 | 70¢ | 85¢ | +$33 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $190 | 77¢ | 74¢ | -$8 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | Yes | $154 | 50¢ | 54¢ | +$14 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | Yes | $105 | 80¢ | 86¢ | +$8 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $108 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $106 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $69 | 42¢ | 57¢ | +$25 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?Politics | No | $92 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Politics | Yes | $107 | 69¢ | 59¢ | -$16 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by August 9, 2026?Politics | Yes | $78 | 42¢ | 43¢ | +$2 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | Yes | $91 | 30¢ | 25¢ | -$17 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | No | $79 | 27¢ | 21¢ | -$19 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $67 | 56¢ | 44¢ | -$15 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?Finance | No | $98 | 41¢ | 21¢ | -$49 |
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $41 | 72¢ | 72¢ | -$0 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | Yes | $35 | 11¢ | 11¢ | -$2 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $32 | 36¢ | 36¢ | -$0 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 6, 2026?Politics | No | $34 | 87¢ | 77¢ | -$4 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?Finance | No | $40 | 29¢ | 22¢ | -$10 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Finance | No | $31 | 19¢ | 19¢ | -$1 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 24¢ | 24¢ | -$1 |
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?Economy | Yes | $27 | 37¢ | 36¢ | -$1 |
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?Tech | No | $24 | 81¢ | 82¢ | +$0 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by August 16, 2026?Politics | Yes | $26 | 46¢ | 43¢ | -$2 |
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?Politics | Yes | $22 | 18¢ | 19¢ | +$1 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 65¢ | 57¢ | -$2 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Politics | No | $12 | 43¢ | 59¢ | +$5 |
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?Tech | No | $16 | 19¢ | 19¢ | +$0 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 16, 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 16¢ | 16¢ | -$0 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 7, 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 60¢ | 54¢ | -$1 |
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Economy | Yes | $12 | 15¢ | 14¢ | -$0 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 12¢ | 11¢ | -$1 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 8, 2026?Politics | No | $11 | 89¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Politics | Yes | $12 | 69¢ | 60¢ | -$2 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 27, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?Economy | Yes | $9 | 19¢ | 18¢ | -$0 |
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | No | $9 | 30¢ | 30¢ | -$0 |
Will 7 or more people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 88¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Politics | Yes | $8 | 13¢ | 12¢ | -$1 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 5, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 66¢ | 43¢ | -$3 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | Yes | $6 | 29¢ | 28¢ | -$0 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 25, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | Yes | $4 | 17¢ | 22¢ | +$1 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 28, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 90¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Tech | No | $5 | 17¢ | 16¢ | -$0 |
| Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 27¢ | 26¢ | -$0 |
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 19¢ | 15¢ | -$1 |
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 28¢ | 28¢ | -$0 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 16¢ | 16¢ | +$0 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | No | $3 | 13¢ | 14¢ | +$0 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $2 | 16¢ | 16¢ | -$0 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?Politics | Yes | $2 | 16¢ | 13¢ | -$0 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 28, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 12, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 97¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 14, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 94¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 23, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 92¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 93¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 24, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 92¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 19, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 90¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 73¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 86¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?Politics | Yes | $1 | 18¢ | 19¢ | +$0 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Finance | No | $2 | 81¢ | 72¢ | -$0 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 60¢ | 72¢ | +$0 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?Finance | Yes | $1 | 0.9¢ | 1.1¢ | +$0 |
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 69¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 35¢ | 33¢ | -$0 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?Finance | Yes | $1 | 1.9¢ | 2.1¢ | +$0 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 9.0¢ | 9.0¢ | +$0 |
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Politics | Yes | $1 | 13¢ | 12¢ | -$0 |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 62¢ | 59¢ | -$0 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in August?Finance | Yes | $1 | 1.6¢ | 1.6¢ | -$0 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 12¢ | 12¢ | -$0 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by August 9, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 80¢ | 57¢ | -$0 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 26¢ | 23¢ | -$0 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Finance | No | $1 | 68¢ | 53¢ | -$0 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?Finance | Yes | $1 | 26¢ | 20¢ | -$0 |