 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $4 | 67¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2 | 32¢ | 88¢ | +$4 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 2.8¢ | 3.5¢ | +$1 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 63¢ | 69¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 44¢ | 56¢ | +$1 |
 Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | No | $3 | 46¢ | 61¢ | +$1 |
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $2 | 1.3¢ | 2.4¢ | +$2 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $6 | 76¢ | 46¢ | -$2 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $3 | 19¢ | 16¢ | -$0 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $3 | 2.3¢ | 2.4¢ | +$0 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 17¢ | 9.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Politics | Yes | $5 | 32¢ | 13¢ | -$3 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $2 | 2.2¢ | 2.5¢ | +$0 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $5 | 16¢ | 5.3¢ | -$4 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $1 | 1.6¢ | 3.3¢ | +$1 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $4 | 47¢ | 21¢ | -$2 |
 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.6¢ | 0.5¢ | -$0 |
 No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Politics | Yes | $1 | 10¢ | 19¢ | +$1 |
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.6¢ | 4.7¢ | +$1 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 44¢ | 23¢ | -$1 |
 Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $2 | 24¢ | 15¢ | -$1 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 59¢ | 77¢ | +$0 |
 Iran coup attempt by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 15¢ | 9.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.4¢ | 2.5¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump accuse Mexico of election interference by July 16?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 Week of July 20 2026?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 4?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?Culture | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next PMQ?Mentions | NoResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Gina Swoboda be the Arizona Secretary of State Republican nominee?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 Week of July 13 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Jon Bernthal or Tom Holland say "Morocco" on Hot Ones?Mentions | NoResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Starmer say "Thank" 10+ times during the next PMQ?Mentions | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $71 on July 7?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.25B?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $71 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$71 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 17?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on June 16?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will United Airlines say "Internet" during earnings call?Mentions | NoResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will General Motors say "Charging station" during earnings call?Mentions | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $70 on July 2?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.25 Week of July 20 2026?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $630 Week of July 13 2026?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $324 Week of July 13 2026?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will DICK's Sporting Goods Q1 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 4% and 5%?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 1?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $180 Week of July 20 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Trump say "Fake News" during Tribute to America Rally?Mentions | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 11?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on July 7?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Finance | NoResolved | $2 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of July 13 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Ralph Norman replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will "SpaceX" be said 3+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Mentions | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 Week of July 20 2026?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $77 on July 16?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of July 13 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 11?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will General Motors say "Horsepower" during earnings call?Mentions | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $148 in May?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Chris James be the AZ-05 Democratic nominee?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump admin declassify foreign election interference files by July 17?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of July 13 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of June 1 2026?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times at Defense and Innovation Summit?Mentions | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 21?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 Week of May 25 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of July 20 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of July 13 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?Finance | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?Finance | YesResolved | $0 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Jonathan Treble be the AZ-01 Democratic nominee?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Cashed out No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$115d ago
Sold Yes · Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$415d ago
Sold No · Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$415d ago