melkor

Predicting since Oct 202452 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$2	55¢	78¢	+$1
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Crypto	YesResolved	$10	94¢	0.0¢	-$10
US government shutdown by October 1?Politics	NoResolved	$5	41¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?Politics	NoResolved	$5	88¢	0.0¢	-$5
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	27¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Politics	YesResolved	$5	18¢	0.0¢	-$5
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?Crypto	YesResolved	$5	86¢	0.0¢	-$5
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?Politics	YesResolved	$1	5.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Ethereum reach $5800 in August?Crypto	YesResolved	$1	15¢	0.0¢	-$1
Russia announces air truce by August 31?Politics	YesResolved	$2	18¢	0.0¢	-$2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	7.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?Politics	NoResolved	$2	35¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture	YesResolved	$3	3.4¢	0.0¢	-$3
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$3	0.3¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? Crypto	YesResolved	$5	38¢	0.0¢	-$5
US government shutdown in 2025?Politics	NoResolved	$5	33¢	0.0¢	-$5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$2	27¢	0.0¢	-$2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	13¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?Politics	NoResolved	$5	58¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?Tech	NoResolved	$10	44¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Crypto	YesResolved	$10	39¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Neymar score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$2	13¢	0.0¢	-$2
Pump.fun announces public raise sold out in the first hour?Crypto	NoResolved	$5	57¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?Politics	NoResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
OpenAI social app in 2025?Tech	NoResolved	$10	50¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture	YesResolved	$1	1.1¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$239

Boxing-$100

Crypto-$51

Tech-$20

Culture-$4

World Cup-$2

Biggest hit

+$26

Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?

Toughest beat

-$220

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Recent moves

Bought No · US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$12mo ago
Bought No · US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$12mo ago
Bought No · Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$22mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Neymar score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$22mo ago
Bought Yes · US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$14mo ago
Bought Yes · US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$24mo ago
Bought Yes · Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$55mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$15mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$35mo ago
Bought Yes · US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$26mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?$126mo ago
Bought Yes · OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?$16mo ago