← Whale Watch

daniholm

Predicting since Oct 2024114 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?PoliticsNo$131¢60¢+$1
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$163¢92¢+$0
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$170¢100¢+$0
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$173¢100¢+$0
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$171¢93¢+$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$161¢77¢+$0
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$171¢88¢+$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$156¢66¢+$0
US recession by end of 2026?EconomyNo$177¢88¢+$0
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$182¢93¢+$0
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$186¢97¢+$0
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$189¢100¢+$0
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?PoliticsNo$184¢94¢+$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$187¢96¢+$0
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$185¢94¢+$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$187¢96¢+$0
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$194¢100¢+$0
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?CultureNo$189¢94¢+$0
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$195¢100¢+$0
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?TechNoResolved$196¢100¢+$0
NATO dissolves before 2027?PoliticsNo$193¢97¢+$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$191¢95¢+$0
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?PoliticsNo$184¢87¢+$0
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$194¢97¢+$0
Xi Jinping out by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$198¢100¢+$0
China coup attempt before 2027?PoliticsNo$194¢96¢+$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$190¢92¢+$0
US x China Military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$194¢96¢+$0
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?WeatherNo$198¢99¢+$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?PoliticsNo$195¢95¢+$0
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?PoliticsNo$198¢98¢+$0
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$175¢0.0¢-$1
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$176¢0.0¢-$1
US government shutdown Saturday?PoliticsNoResolved$129¢0.0¢-$1
Trump approval Up or Down this week?PoliticsDownResolved$168¢0.0¢-$1
BLS delays another CPI release before 2027?EconomyNoResolved$175¢0.0¢-$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$159¢0.0¢-$1
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?PoliticsNoResolved$139¢0.0¢-$1
Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?PoliticsNoResolved$191¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? PoliticsNoResolved$180¢0.0¢-$1
US bank failure by January 31?EconomyNoResolved$197¢0.0¢-$1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?PoliticsNoResolved$181¢0.0¢-$1
Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?PoliticsNoResolved$149¢0.0¢-$1
Will Don Lemon be criminally charged?PoliticsNoResolved$157¢0.0¢-$1
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?PoliticsNoResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?TechNoResolved$148¢0.0¢-$1
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?PoliticsNoResolved$196¢0.0¢-$1
Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$11.4¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Economy-$2
Politics+$1
Tech-$1
Culture+$0
Weather+$0
Biggest hit
+$2
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · GTA VI released before June 2026?$11mo ago
  • Sold No · U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? $12mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$12mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?$03mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?$03mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$03mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?$03mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Trump out as President by March 31?$03mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?$03mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?$03mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$03mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?$03mo ago