itxsaw2

Predicting since Jan 2026110 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $2.2K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $3.4K riding on Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place.

Biggest hit: +$1.1K on Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Politics	No	$3.0K	76¢	83¢	+$264
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$3.4K	86¢	76¢	-$395
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$1.2K	30¢	54¢	+$934
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics	Yes	$1.5K	74¢	85¢	+$226
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$1.9K	63¢	45¢	-$561
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	No	$811	68¢	83¢	+$179
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics	Yes	$797	80¢	89¢	+$88
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics	Yes	$690	80¢	96¢	+$143
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Politics	Yes	$545	78¢	96¢	+$127
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics	Yes	$513	73¢	72¢	-$12
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics	No	$206	51¢	88¢	+$144
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?Politics	No	$257	84¢	95¢	+$35
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics	No	$206	69¢	92¢	+$68
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics	No	$177	80¢	87¢	+$14
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics	No	$174	87¢	90¢	+$5
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics	Yes	$174	87¢	88¢	+$1
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$213	47¢	37¢	-$49
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Politics	No	$98	49¢	62¢	+$26
Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Politics	Yes	$112	56¢	61¢	+$9
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Politics	Yes	$102	85¢	98¢	+$15
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Politics	Yes	$136	66¢	56¢	-$19
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$133	29¢	16¢	-$61
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$66	66¢	61¢	-$5
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?Politics	Yes	$15	73¢	84¢	+$2
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics	Yes	$47	16¢	5.3¢	-$31
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$10	10¢	11¢	+$0
Will Patrus Ananias win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics	Yes	$6	5.6¢	5.7¢	+$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics	Yes	$3	2.9¢	3.5¢	+$1
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?Politics	NoResolved	$42	84¢	0.0¢	-$42
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$90	82¢	0.0¢	-$90
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics	NoResolved	$100	77¢	0.0¢	-$100
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Politics	NoResolved	$52	35¢	0.0¢	-$52
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$77	77¢	0.0¢	-$77
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup	YesResolved	$92	92¢	0.0¢	-$92
Government shutdown on Saturday?Politics	YesResolved	$5	9.6¢	0.0¢	-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$2.2K

World Cup-$62

Economy-$38

Finance+$24

Tech+$19

Crypto+$12

Other sports+$10

Culture+$2

Weather+$2

Olympics+$2

Biggest hit

+$1.1K

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

Toughest beat

-$552

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will Patrus Ananias win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$11h ago
Bought Yes · Will Patrus Ananias win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$61h ago
Bought No · Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?$416h ago
Sold Yes · Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?$299h ago
Sold No · Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?$949h ago
Sold No · Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?$209h ago
Sold No · Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?$209h ago
Sold No · Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?$269h ago
Bought No · Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?$1412h ago
Bought No · Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?$2917h ago
Bought No · Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?$1417h ago
Bought No · Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?$2618h ago