← Whale Watch

grauito

Predicting since Jun 20261,016 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$31457¢87¢+$165
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?PoliticsNo$19287¢93¢+$12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$18889¢95¢+$11
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$15081¢89¢+$15
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?PoliticsYes$12277¢81¢+$6
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsNo$10796¢97¢+$1
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$8658¢63¢+$7
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$7758¢63¢+$6
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?PoliticsYes$4013¢14¢+$2
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$3886¢87¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on July 26?WeatherYes$3774¢74¢-$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$3624¢24¢-$1
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$3671¢69¢-$1
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in July?PoliticsNo$1937¢69¢+$16
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?PoliticsNo$2550¢61¢+$5
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$3093¢93¢-$0
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$2074¢93¢+$5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$2378¢81¢+$1
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?PoliticsNo$2495¢97¢+$0
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsYes$1860¢70¢+$3
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1639¢47¢+$3
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$1890¢93¢+$1
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$1880¢81¢+$0
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in July?PoliticsNo$1680¢83¢+$1
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$1680¢80¢-$0
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1472¢79¢+$1
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?PoliticsNo$1468¢75¢+$1
Natural Disaster in 2026?WeatherYes$1626¢22¢-$2
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026PoliticsNo$817¢26¢+$4
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$1283¢86¢+$0
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1363¢63¢-$0
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$1378¢73¢-$1
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?PoliticsYes$1174¢81¢+$1
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1292¢91¢-$0
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?PoliticsNo$1254¢51¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 27?WeatherYes$1050¢56¢+$1
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?eSportsYes$931¢34¢+$1
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$1089¢90¢+$0
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 26?WeatherYes$551¢99¢+$5
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 26?WeatherYes$547¢97¢+$5
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$656¢96¢+$4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on July 26?WeatherYes$438¢95¢+$6
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$1061¢57¢-$1
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$1077¢73¢-$1
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?PoliticsNo$875¢93¢+$2
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?PoliticsNo$767¢91¢+$2
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$963¢65¢+$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$986¢88¢+$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?PoliticsNo$657¢87¢+$3
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 28?WeatherYes$958¢56¢-$0
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?PoliticsNo$883¢82¢-$0
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$641¢52¢+$2
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?PoliticsNo$878¢78¢-$0
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsNo$766¢73¢+$1
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$770¢73¢+$0
Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani by July 31?PoliticsNo$550¢70¢+$2
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?PoliticsYes$963¢44¢-$3
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?CultureNo$765¢57¢-$1
Another Elon baby by December 31?TechNo$684¢80¢-$0
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 27?WeatherYes$435¢51¢+$2
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$637¢34¢-$1
Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?CultureNo$548¢47¢-$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$114¢43¢+$3
Will Rami Hammoud Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?eSportsYes$516¢14¢-$1
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?PoliticsNo$671¢49¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 27?WeatherYes$435¢37¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 27?WeatherYes$334¢36¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 28?WeatherYes$439¢34¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 28?WeatherYes$437¢33¢-$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$427¢25¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 27?WeatherYes$438¢31¢-$1
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?PoliticsNo$1844¢7.0¢-$15
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$329¢27¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on July 26?WeatherYes$737¢12¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 27?WeatherYes$335¢26¢-$1
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?CultureYes$240¢42¢+$0
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?PoliticsYes$637¢12¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 26?WeatherYes$333¢14¢-$2
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 27?WeatherYes$334¢12¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$850¢0.0¢-$8
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy PaulTennisTommy PaulResolved$2358¢0.0¢-$23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 3?WeatherYesResolved$841¢0.0¢-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1036¢0.0¢-$10
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$529¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETCryptoDownResolved$2014¢0.0¢-$20
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 21?WeatherYesResolved$436¢0.0¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 2?WeatherYesResolved$322¢0.0¢-$3
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 5?WeatherYesResolved$522¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 28?WeatherYesResolved$16.8¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETCryptoUpResolved$435¢0.0¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on July 3?WeatherYesResolved$241¢0.0¢-$2
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?World CupYesResolved$1443¢0.0¢-$14
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 6?WeatherYesResolved$3860¢0.0¢-$38
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$262.4¢0.0¢-$26
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 England?World CupYesResolved$410¢0.0¢-$4
Wimbledon ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Jaume MunarTennisJacob FearnleyResolved$3513¢0.0¢-$35
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 2?WeatherYesResolved$549¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C on June 29?WeatherYesResolved$12.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 28?WeatherYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$7633¢0.0¢-$76

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Weather-$443
World Cup-$334
Politics+$173
Crypto-$151
Tennis-$103
Tech-$82
Soccer (other)+$4
Culture-$1
Economy-$1
eSports+$0
La Liga+$0
Biggest hit
+$200
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Toughest beat
-$277
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 27?$41h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on July 26?$41h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on July 26?$41h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 28?$43h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 28?$23h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 28?$23h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 27?$43h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 27?$33h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 27?$44h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 27?$54h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 28?$94h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on July 26?$24h ago