← Whale Watch

thepolwinner

Predicting since Mar 202527,274 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.6K on World Cup markets since Mar 2025.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1924¢85¢+$49
Relay FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoYes$1310.0¢19¢+$11
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?PoliticsYes$3440¢25¢-$13
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechYes$1511¢14¢+$5
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?FinanceYes$2317¢14¢-$4
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?PoliticsYes$149.0¢12¢+$5
Will Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?NFLYes$148.0¢10¢+$4
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?TechYes$1417¢20¢+$2
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechNo$99.1¢14¢+$6
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1220¢26¢+$3
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?CryptoNo$1348¢50¢+$0
Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?PoliticsYes$1614¢12¢-$3
Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$148.0¢5.9¢-$4
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027?CryptoNo$1214¢12¢-$2
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?PoliticsYes$1411¢6.7¢-$6
Will Diego Lopes become UFC champion in 2026?UFC / MMAYes$1412¢6.8¢-$6
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?NFLYes$148.6¢3.3¢-$9
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?PoliticsYes$817¢13¢-$2
Vanta IPO before 2027?TechYes$1629¢9.5¢-$11
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$247¢100¢+$3
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?PoliticsYes$327¢37¢+$1
Will the Republican Party win the TX-05 House seat?PoliticsNo$59.0¢9.0¢+$0
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?PoliticsNo$242¢100¢+$3
GTA 6 launch postponed again?TechNo$244¢90¢+$2
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?CryptoNo$246¢83¢+$2
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?CryptoNo$239¢83¢+$2
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$257¢93¢+$2
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$78.0¢4.3¢-$3
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?PoliticsNo$249¢84¢+$2
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$133¢99¢+$3
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$232¢80¢+$2
Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?CryptoNo$242¢85¢+$2
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$252¢95¢+$2
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?TechNo$243¢78¢+$2
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$243¢89¢+$2
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$129¢97¢+$2
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?EconomyYes$736¢17¢-$4
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$250¢67¢+$1
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoNo$119¢80¢+$3
Over $800M raised on Coinbase in 2026?CryptoNo$246¢68¢+$1
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?CryptoNo$139¢87¢+$2
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$335¢34¢-$0
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?TechNo$253¢97¢+$1
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$132¢96¢+$2
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?TechYes$245¢81¢+$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$250¢99¢+$2
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$129¢69¢+$2
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$119¢92¢+$2
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?PoliticsNo$247¢84¢+$1
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$246¢67¢+$1
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?PoliticsYes$248¢62¢+$1
Hyperbeat FDV above $10M one day after launch?CryptoNo$126¢74¢+$2
Will the Republican Party win the OK-04 House seat?PoliticsNo$612¢6.5¢-$3
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$120¢97¢+$2
Ledger IPO before 2027?TechNo$128¢91¢+$2
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?PoliticsYes$127¢86¢+$2
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$149¢95¢+$1
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?Other sportsNo$120¢78¢+$2
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$138¢91¢+$2
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsNo$142¢82¢+$1
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLNo$228¢49¢+$1
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?CryptoNo$139¢71¢+$1
Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?PoliticsYes$253¢72¢+$1
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?WeatherNo$139¢80¢+$1
Anthropic IPO before 2027?TechYes$253¢68¢+$1
Deel IPO before 2027?TechNo$136¢96¢+$2
Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?NFLNo$134¢99¢+$2
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?CryptoNo$144¢95¢+$1
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$137¢71¢+$1
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1Yes$139¢87¢+$1
Will Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$019¢93¢+$2
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?TechNo$146¢76¢+$1
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$150¢98¢+$1
Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$241¢46¢+$0
Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?CryptoYes$247¢49¢+$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$129¢89¢+$1
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$132¢50¢+$1
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?TechNo$243¢44¢+$0
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?FinanceYes$131¢64¢+$1
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$144¢67¢+$1
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoNo$142¢83¢+$1
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$249¢63¢+$0
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?CryptoYes$116¢64¢+$2
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$122¢87¢+$2
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherYes$122¢47¢+$1
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherNo$143¢84¢+$1
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$142¢64¢+$1
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?CryptoNo$133¢56¢+$1
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$250¢44¢-$0
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$239¢45¢+$0
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoYes$245¢45¢-$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$014¢97¢+$2
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoYes$141¢90¢+$1
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?PoliticsNo$147¢100¢+$1
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?TechNo$125¢54¢+$1
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?CryptoNo$141¢87¢+$1
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoNo$138¢52¢+$0
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?PoliticsYes$134¢67¢+$1
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?TechNo$126¢72¢+$1
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$125¢44¢+$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

World Cup-$2.6K
Politics+$1.3K
Crypto-$415
Tennis-$127
Culture+$122
Other sports-$96
eSports+$59
Economy-$54
Soccer (other)-$39
NBA-$38
Finance-$35
UFC / MMA-$31
Biggest hit
+$514
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Toughest beat
-$67
Another Israel military action on Yemen by Friday?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?$622d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Trent Williams be traded?$23d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$15d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$25d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?$26d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Norway win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$26d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7306d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8826d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$26d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?$3666d ago
  • Cashed out Under · Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5$1296d ago