← Whale Watch

unsc

Predicting since Nov 202572 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $19K on Politics markets since Nov 2025.

Right now: $24K across 4 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$10K on U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.2K63¢84¢+$697
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.5K44¢63¢+$645
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.7K84¢95¢+$210
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$6.0K67¢9.0¢-$5.2K
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?PoliticsNo$88074¢64¢-$121
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?PoliticsYes$49237¢29¢-$104
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?PoliticsNo$29690¢95¢+$17
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?PoliticsYes$14827¢21¢-$35
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?PoliticsNoResolved$8.5K57¢0.0¢-$8.5K
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$22819¢0.0¢-$228
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?TechYesResolved$1.4K48¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$5.2K60¢0.0¢-$5.2K
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$2.8K55¢0.0¢-$2.8K
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?PoliticsNoResolved$6.7K94¢0.0¢-$6.7K
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$14913¢0.0¢-$149
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$7.5K75¢0.0¢-$7.5K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$42532¢0.0¢-$425
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$59325¢0.0¢-$593
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?FinanceYesResolved$11669¢0.0¢-$116
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$2.2K80¢0.0¢-$2.2K
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?PoliticsNoResolved$8.9K89¢0.0¢-$8.9K
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1.1K28¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$3.6K75¢0.0¢-$3.6K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$19K
Tech-$1.4K
Finance-$116
Culture+$0
Biggest hit
+$10K
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Toughest beat
-$5.1K
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$2.6K1mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$291mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$4.9K1mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$10K2mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$5802mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$5632mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$22mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$122mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$82mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$1412mo ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1.3K2mo ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$3202mo ago