← Whale Watch

rickyvaughn

Predicting since Jun 2025376 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $6.8K on Politics markets since Jun 2025.

Right now: $713 across 3 World Cup markets.

Biggest hit: +$15K on Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?PoliticsYes$31144¢48¢+$24
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?PoliticsYes$13021¢29¢+$50
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$11054¢61¢+$14
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?PoliticsYes$9017¢22¢+$30
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$983.9¢3.5¢-$11
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$440.7¢1.4¢+$36
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?PoliticsYes$7522¢14¢-$30
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$421.6¢1.4¢-$7
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$450.5¢0.4¢-$11
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?PoliticsYes$193.2¢3.6¢+$2
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$1623¢27¢+$2
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$512¢11¢-$0
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsYes$38.0¢13¢+$2
Will another candidate win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?PoliticsYesResolved$170.5¢0.0¢-$17
Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5719¢0.0¢-$57
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?PoliticsYesResolved$20.7¢0.0¢-$2
Will Michael Olise win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$24.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Spread: France (-5.5)World CupFranceResolved$50.6¢0.0¢-$5
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?World CupNoResolved$583.3¢0.0¢-$58
France vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5World CupOverResolved$1513¢0.0¢-$15
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$90.4¢0.0¢-$9
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?World CupYesResolved$1068.6¢0.0¢-$106
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2510.0¢0.0¢-$25
Will Pau Cubarsí score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$84.0¢0.0¢-$8
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$93.1¢0.0¢-$9
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$4941.7¢0.0¢-$494
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$156.3¢0.0¢-$15
Will Trump visit China by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$103.1¢0.0¢-$10
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$76.2¢0.0¢-$7
Will Jules Koundé score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$82.8¢0.0¢-$8
Will Pedri score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$611¢0.0¢-$6
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)World CupArgentinaResolved$109.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?World CupYesResolved$54.0¢0.0¢-$5
Spread: France (-3.5)World CupFranceResolved$145.1¢0.0¢-$14
Spread: France (-3.5)World CupFranceResolved$3417¢0.0¢-$34
Will Senegal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$456.1¢0.0¢-$45
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$3417¢0.0¢-$34
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$84.5¢0.0¢-$8
Spread: France (-5.5)World CupFranceResolved$21.9¢0.0¢-$2
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?PoliticsNoResolved$1564.8¢0.0¢-$156
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$164.7¢0.0¢-$16
Spread: Spain (-2.5)World CupSpainResolved$1010¢0.0¢-$10
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?PoliticsYesResolved$34.6¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$50.1¢0.0¢-$5
Will Marc Cucurella score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5013¢0.0¢-$50
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1111¢0.0¢-$11
Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$64227¢0.0¢-$642
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$6820¢0.0¢-$68
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?World CupNoResolved$121.1¢0.0¢-$12
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$652.5¢0.0¢-$65
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$192.1¢0.0¢-$19
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?PoliticsYesResolved$61.0¢0.0¢-$6
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?PoliticsYesResolved$5616¢0.0¢-$56
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 10–15%?PoliticsYesResolved$128.4¢0.0¢-$12
France vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5World CupOverResolved$105.6¢0.0¢-$10
France vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5World CupOverResolved$51.7¢0.0¢-$5
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?PoliticsNoResolved$152.2¢0.0¢-$15
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)World CupArgentinaResolved$2712¢0.0¢-$27
Will Bukayo Saka record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$60.5¢0.0¢-$6
Spread: France (-4.5)World CupFranceResolved$61.9¢0.0¢-$6
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)World CupArgentinaResolved$55.3¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump visit China by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$325.4¢0.0¢-$32
Will Trump visit China by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$60.7¢0.0¢-$6
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)World CupArgentinaResolved$2222¢0.0¢-$22
Spread: France (-4.5)World CupFranceResolved$99.0¢0.0¢-$9
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1542.8¢0.0¢-$154

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$6.8K
Culture-$560
World Cup-$534
Finance-$63
Boxing-$53
Soccer (other)+$19
Biggest hit
+$15K
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
Toughest beat
-$3.4K
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$1105h ago
  • Sold Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 27?$271d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 27?$111d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$161d ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 27?$151d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$101d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$151d ago
  • Bought Yes · IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?$161d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$71d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$371d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$162d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?$42d ago